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re: UF Series Takeaways

Posted on 3/28/17 at 7:21 am to
Posted by LSU Groupee
Member since Oct 2012
4026 posts
Posted on 3/28/17 at 7:21 am to
quote:

the chance of scoring ONE run is higher if there is a runner on second with no outs than there is if there is a runner on third with one out.


That's right and if you think about it, it's logical.

The more outs you have to get a guy in from scoring position, the better off you are.

Scoring from second with none out has a run expectancy of 1.228. Scoring from third with one out has a run expectancy of .980.

Bottom line, its not a coaching mistake to not bunt in that situation.
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
85311 posts
Posted on 3/28/17 at 7:33 am to
In which situation are you more likely to score at least one run? Hint: It's with a runner at 3B and 1 out.

You aren't saying anything to contradict my point that bunting in the last inning or extras when you need just one run is statistically the correct call.
This post was edited on 3/28/17 at 7:34 am
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