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re: Goldman fires 600 traders; replaces them with 2 traders/200 computer programmers

Posted on 2/14/17 at 10:38 am to
Posted by Doc Fenton
New York, NY
Member since Feb 2007
52698 posts
Posted on 2/14/17 at 10:38 am to
Good point. I'm a firm believer in creative destruction and the macro benefits that accrue from the scientific downscaling and rationalization of mature industries.

So most of this stuff is good, so much as it pertains to increasing automation and things like that. However, there are also some bad signs from the lack of underlying economic business, or simply having too much money chasing too few capital investment business opportunities. Additionally, a souring on active management might lead to an over-reliance on ETFs, and there is an argument to be made that near-ZIRP monetary policy is killing opportunities for skillful stock selection, and causing a herd mentality that doesn't intelligently distinguish risks across asset classes.

But I'm nitpicking. Overall it's a net positive for society if IB & HF are getting downsized.
Posted by b-rab2
N. Louisiana
Member since Dec 2005
12577 posts
Posted on 2/14/17 at 12:55 pm to
quote:

Overall it's a net positive for society if IB & HF are getting downsized


I'm thinking further out. Outside of IB and HF.. Look at the auto industry, most of that is going to - already there - robots.. not much need for working bodies.

Im sort of going off of topic here but I was at an SPE meeting in december and it was on drilling automation vs people rigs and how they differ with speed for drilling..

Interesting results is that the machines were consistently fast as expected but a veteran drilling crew was mostly faster as time went on.
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