re: Which would you rather?

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Yes, you can get lucky with a Jokic, Draymond, Middleton etc in the draft. Those are the rare exceptions. The more picks you have, the more likely you are able to find those key role players that can save you 10s of millions of dollars.

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BINGO!

Every year there are 2nd round picks that turn into starters, yet we rarely ever make picks in the 2nd round.
There's nothing guaranteed about them, so who gives a shite if they don't pan out. they cost you next to nothing.

i'm not as upset about not having the first round picks, as I am about not having the second round picks these last few years.
There's usually a good 5 to 6 guys every year drafted in the 30 pick 2nd round that turn out pretty good, sometimes really good. so you have a good 15% chance to get a good player in there. the odds are in your favor to find a difference maker in the 2nd round after 5 years worth of picks, especially when you're picking in the 30's.
If you make 1 pick every 5 years in the 2nd round, the likelihood of finding the diamond in the rough is pretty close to nothing.