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re: Storm Aftermath - Hurricane Matthew will be Retired

Posted on 9/20/16 at 2:29 pm to
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19846 posts
Posted on 9/20/16 at 2:29 pm to


I typically don't give much time to pouch tracking but P39L is very intriguing. The current MJO forecast and medium range model guidance would suggest a general westward motion. The last few systems have come off of Africa farther north and have been automatic out to sea systems.

The models are in pretty good agreement that P39L will be approaching the Islands in 8 or 9 days with a ridge over the top. At this time, there are a lot of signals pointing to a late season heatwave in the East. That would suggest stronger than normal high pressure over the SE that might keep any future system trapped on a westward course.
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