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re: Storm Tracking Thread: Post Tropical Storm Hermine
Posted on 8/27/16 at 9:44 am to rds dc
Posted on 8/27/16 at 9:44 am to rds dc
quote:yeah, there's a lot of convection today but there's no rotation in the tops whatsoever. It seems like the visible surface circulation is weakening too.
I'm not seeing much. Surface obs do indicate there could be a broad circulation down there and there is some convection going off. It would probably take an extended period of vigorous convection to tighten anything up. Also, the mid level vort is displaced well away from any low level spin.
What may be happening is that surface circulation is reconsolidating below the convection, but the nonrotating convection kind of leaves me doubtful of that. I think we've gotta just be in a wait-and-see mode for today.
1
Posted on 8/27/16 at 9:56 am to baytiger
The imagery supports the NHC's forecast for dropping the 5 day probability for tropical storm development to less than 50%.
This system will be known for being the most watched, most analyzed thunderstorm in history.
This system will be known for being the most watched, most analyzed thunderstorm in history.
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