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re: Storm Tracking Thread: Post Tropical Storm Hermine

Posted on 8/27/16 at 9:27 am to
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19833 posts
Posted on 8/27/16 at 9:27 am to
quote:


They're all fired up on the Stomr2k board this morning. They say it's finally taking off.


I'm not seeing much. Surface obs do indicate there could be a broad circulation down there and there is some convection going off. It would probably take an extended period of vigorous convection to tighten anything up. Also, the mid level vort is displaced well away from any low level spin.
Posted by baytiger
Boston
Member since Dec 2007
46978 posts
Posted on 8/27/16 at 9:44 am to
quote:


I'm not seeing much. Surface obs do indicate there could be a broad circulation down there and there is some convection going off. It would probably take an extended period of vigorous convection to tighten anything up. Also, the mid level vort is displaced well away from any low level spin.
yeah, there's a lot of convection today but there's no rotation in the tops whatsoever. It seems like the visible surface circulation is weakening too.

What may be happening is that surface circulation is reconsolidating below the convection, but the nonrotating convection kind of leaves me doubtful of that. I think we've gotta just be in a wait-and-see mode for today.
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