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Message
re: Storm Tracking Thread: Post Tropical Storm Hermine
Posted on 8/26/16 at 7:27 am to GEAUXmedic
Posted on 8/26/16 at 7:27 am to GEAUXmedic
quote:
Impossible northern jump from Euro
There actually isn't anything wrong with that jump. A piece of an upper level through off the NE coast cuts off and then drifts back to the SE under the ridge. It also develops a bit of a surface reflection as it rotates down. This doesn't show up very well in the free Euro panels but its there.
A weakness develops in the red circle allowing whatever form 99L is in to curve back to the NE rather rapidly. By Monday at 12z, there is an ULL sitting over the SC coast and that wasn't there on past runs.
This post was edited on 8/26/16 at 7:29 am
1
Posted on 8/26/16 at 7:30 am to rds dc
also keep in mind that it's still not a closed low in that frame, so any "jump" in the models could simply be the center displacing and reforming.
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