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re: Hurricane Season - Nicole only 2nd Cat 3 for Bermuda

Posted on 8/23/16 at 5:34 am to
Posted by baytiger
Boston
Member since Dec 2007
46978 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 5:34 am to
Keep in mind that models are meant to be used as guidance and not actual forecasts

but the GFS does keep the wave together over Florida and hints at a possible depression southwest of the bend. It's closer to the ECMWF than it appears at first glance. Don't throw it out entirely.. there's some cause for concern.
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
41598 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 5:37 am to
The way I see it, is that the GFS is missing something. Also it is initializing too far south IMO. At least it's on board with a stronger ridge.

and by the way...

quote:

but the GFS does keep the wave together over Florida and hints at a possible depression southwest of the bend.


That's not 99L, that's Fiona eating 99L and moving into the GOM.
This post was edited on 8/23/16 at 5:40 am
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