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re: College Football Week 1/Futures Bet Thread
Posted on 8/23/16 at 4:30 pm to Lazy But Talented
Posted on 8/23/16 at 4:30 pm to Lazy But Talented
I got LSU @ -9. So i played it
Thats it so far
Thats it so far
Posted on 8/23/16 at 5:04 pm to wish i was tebow
Updated card:
WKU -16.5
Vandy u42.5
Toledo +3
WVU -9.5
Penn St u46
Likely to add under in Dublin, aTm, BYU, WMU and So Miss. Haven't capped Sunday and Monday games yet.
WKU -16.5
Vandy u42.5
Toledo +3
WVU -9.5
Penn St u46
Likely to add under in Dublin, aTm, BYU, WMU and So Miss. Haven't capped Sunday and Monday games yet.
Posted on 8/23/16 at 6:18 pm to ChemE in the OP
UCLA up to +3. Time to jump on that?
Posted on 8/23/16 at 6:59 pm to Morally Bankrupt
Man, I'm backing off that one. Really looking like a two play week one for me. Doubt the number gets any better though.
Posted on 8/23/16 at 8:50 pm to ChemE in the OP
I haz 11 plays from my spreadsheet and added Nebraska and I may add BYU on gameday.
Nebraska was a play originally, but they dropped off along with a few others when I went back to the original formula.
But goldennugget like Nebraska so much that I went ahead and bet them anyway.
Nebraska was a play originally, but they dropped off along with a few others when I went back to the original formula.
But goldennugget like Nebraska so much that I went ahead and bet them anyway.
Posted on 8/23/16 at 10:55 pm to LSUAlum2001
quote:
But goldennugget like Nebraska so much that I went ahead and bet them anyway.
Their oline is a mess. However, Fresno might be a bigger mess. That's a lot points to cover though.
Posted on 8/23/16 at 11:14 pm to LSUAlum2001
quote:
I may add BYU on gameday.
I like BYU as well. They just announced Taysom Hill as their starter. Should have a good O-line and running game that will allow them to control the ball.
Arizona didn't even have a spring game. This game is in Glendale and BYU fans have bought more tickets!
Posted on 8/24/16 at 8:46 am to LSUAlum2001
quote:
But goldennugget like Nebraska so much that I went ahead and bet them anyway.
Not anymore... my own analysis says Nebraska is the play but my spreadsheet likes Fresno quite a bit. I probably will be passing on this one
Posted on 8/24/16 at 9:02 am to goldennugget
If I were betting normally and not in Las Vegas, here would be my plays:
Charlotte +40
Bowling Green +27.5
Texas State +21
Appalachian State +20.5
Houston +10
Ole Miss +4.5
Charlotte +40
Bowling Green +27.5
Texas State +21
Appalachian State +20.5
Houston +10
Ole Miss +4.5
Posted on 8/24/16 at 9:03 am to Zipfer2022
quote:
I like BYU as well. They just announced Taysom Hill as their starter. Should have a good O-line and running game that will allow them to control the ball.
BYU is one of my biggest plays of the week. They are better than Arizona I think.
Posted on 8/24/16 at 9:13 am to LSUAlum2001
quote:
Louisville -39.5
Minnesota -11
Temple -16.5
Boise St -19.5
Missouri +11
Washington -26
Iowa -28
Nebraska -29
a bunch of big favorites and one dog... seems square
Posted on 8/24/16 at 9:15 am to icegator337
quote:
bunch of big favorites and one dog... seems square
would have paid off last yr for sure
Posted on 8/24/16 at 9:16 am to goldennugget
quote:
This one is tough. If this game were still scheduled for a Friday Night like it originally was, instead of a Saturday 11:00am kick, I'd like ULL a bit more
I figured the opposite, a 10 AM game for a team from the NW in south LA heat seems to give ULL more of an advantage IMO
This post was edited on 8/24/16 at 9:21 am
Posted on 8/24/16 at 9:18 am to oleyeller
quote:
would have paid off last yr for sure
Big favorites did really well last year on Week 1 Saturday... not so much on Thursday/Friday.
Be careful. I remember 2012 Week 1 was a banner weekend for dogs. I know because it was a great week for me because I bet almost strictly dogs that weekend.
Posted on 8/24/16 at 9:20 am to LSUAlum2001
Auburn +7
Texas +3.5
LSU -9.5
Vandy -3
Houston +10
Bama -10
Those are the numbers I'm comfortable taking
Texas +3.5
LSU -9.5
Vandy -3
Houston +10
Bama -10
Those are the numbers I'm comfortable taking
Posted on 8/24/16 at 12:41 pm to Carson123987
Locked in-
Southern Miss +7
western ky -16.5
houston +10
tennessee -22.5 (got in early, was excited lol)
notre dame -3
south carolina +3
tx am -2
Still looking/leaning
auburn 7.5 and north carolina +3 if it gets there. Also trying to decide on fsu/ole miss. i have leaned ole miss the whole time, but now that the number is at 4 im torn. Will probably wait and see what happens.
Southern Miss +7
western ky -16.5
houston +10
tennessee -22.5 (got in early, was excited lol)
notre dame -3
south carolina +3
tx am -2
Still looking/leaning
auburn 7.5 and north carolina +3 if it gets there. Also trying to decide on fsu/ole miss. i have leaned ole miss the whole time, but now that the number is at 4 im torn. Will probably wait and see what happens.
Posted on 8/24/16 at 1:41 pm to oleyeller
Why all the love for the Barn
Here is a decent perspective on why to back Clemson from Jimmydafreak at covers.
Here is a decent perspective on why to back Clemson from Jimmydafreak at covers.
quote:
I agree with your basic premise that in order for Auburn to remain competitive in this game, their offense needs to dominate time-of-possession (TOP) thereby keeping Watson on the sidelines. This is something that I have preached about on nearly an annual basis when Clemson and South Carolina meet in the Battle of the Palmetto State.
I challenge anyone to look up the game stats during South Carolina's 5-game winning streak over Clemson. I'm challenging you to do it, because I'm too lazy to do so. Nevertheless, during Spurrier's 5-game winning streak over Dabo, look at one stat, and one stat only: TOP. Spurrier's game plan versus Clemson was super simple; play ugly SEC grind-it-out-in-the-trenches, ball control offense, and keep Clemson’s high-flying offense on the sideline. What you will find is that in all five of those games, South Carolina utterly dominated the TOP by an average of something like 38 to 22. Alabama did the same thing to Clemson in the 2008 season opener (just as I predicted they would).
Clemson now has a 2-game winning streak in the South Carolina series, and won the TOP battle in both of those games. And the reason they did so because Dabo recognized that for his team to reach the next level, he would need to be SEC good in the trenches, and recruited accordingly.
It should be noted that Alabama tried to play ball control and assert their dominance in the trenches against Clemson in the national title game, and failed miserably. In fact, I would argue Clemson’s defensive front 7 won the battle at the point of attack.
So that brings us full-circle back to the Clemson/Auburn matchup. If you believe Auburn can successfully execute the Steve Spurrier ball-control game plan against Clemson, which is their only chance to remain competitive, then you should probably take the points. I, however, think there is virtually zero shot that will happen.
For starters, playing a slow, ball control brand of football is completely antithetical to the Gus Malzahn offensive philosophy. Malzahn wants his offense to run fast . . . very fast. At this point, because Auburn's other QB prospects are so inept; it appears that pro-style QB Sean White will win the job by default. Why Malzahn even recruited a pro-style QB, and why a pro-style QB would commit to Malzahn is bizarre to say the least, but here we are. We know from last season that White cannot execute the offense Malzahn wants to run. Basically, Auburn’s offense has zero leadership, has zero experience at running back, and virtually no experience on the outside – not that last season’s wide outs were anything to brag about. Auburn’s offense is basically a rudderless ship at sea, and it’s taking on water.
I have submitted on this forum that Auburn's offense is a complete basket case that is wholly incapable of taking advantage of any shortcomings Clemson's defense may have, and that was before yesterday's scrimmage. In speaking to two observers who were there, after watching how dismal and dysfunctional Auburn's offense was, they are now inclined to agree with my assessment that the offense is bad, and that it will be a very long season for Auburn backers.
I don't have the time or space to address Clemson's offense right now except to say it will be even better than it was last season.
The bottom line is that if you're betting on the ability of Auburn's offense to adopt the Spurrier strategy to shorten the game by dominating TOP, or taking advantage of any of Clemson’s defensive vulnerabilities, I think it’s a very ill-conceived bet. There is pretty much no shot that will happen.
Once again, lay the points!
Posted on 8/24/16 at 2:17 pm to SDVTiger
quote:RLM
Why all the love for the Barn
Posted on 8/24/16 at 2:37 pm to Mac
quote:
RLM
Where? I've seen 7 or 7.5 the whole time
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