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re: Flood threat on northern Gulf coast

Posted on 8/8/16 at 9:45 pm to
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19844 posts
Posted on 8/8/16 at 9:45 pm to
quote:

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA


They should check the legend in a test environment before posting live. You can't read it, esp. on mobile. Overall, the flood threat has actually decreased over the past several days as the models have trended towards any surface feature being farther inland. The runs that really hammered the coast kept a broad low near the Gulf and smaller vorts kept spinning up and rotating onshore, focusing heavy rain on the area. Also, the front has trended stronger and is lifting this junk out a little faster.

Posted by lsu mike
Gonzales
Member since Sep 2006
8580 posts
Posted on 8/8/16 at 9:52 pm to
Yep, saw some drama queens freaking out in other threads when the euro was showing 40"+ of rain. Most knew that wasnt going to happen but because the euro showed it, must be true.
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
41598 posts
Posted on 8/8/16 at 9:52 pm to
quote:

Overall, the flood threat has actually decreased over the past several days as the models have trended towards any surface feature being farther inland.


The precip totals it WAS showing were ridiculous, the more realistic totals now are still not good at all.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19844 posts
Posted on 8/9/16 at 9:49 pm to
quote:

quote:
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA


They should check the legend in a test environment before posting live. You can't read it, esp. on mobile.


Much better graphic issued today:



Some concerning changes with the 12z Euro today showing 8-16"+ for areas north of I10 and east of the River by Monday morning. This is a pretty short range forecast for the Euro and a time frame where it typically is pretty good. It is also backed up by the Euro EPS which shows a 51 member mean of nearly 8" for the same area. If it holds at 00z to the next 24 hrs, I would suspect a pretty significant expansion of the Flood Watch.
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