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re: When do interest rates rise

Posted on 7/20/16 at 7:49 am to
Posted by Omada
Member since Jun 2015
695 posts
Posted on 7/20/16 at 7:49 am to
quote:

If cheap money has led to an asset bubble then why hasn't inflation moved above 3%?

I don't think you understood my post. I didn't say we are in an asset bubble. I said that asset prices in general seem inflated. Me saying that asset prices seem a little frothy isn't the same as Greenspan saying that the housing market was frothy. If my words could move the market, I would only call the market frothy when there's a full on bubble, too. But I'm not, so I call it like I see it as a market that I view as a bit too expensive for my tastes.

Second, inflation is measured by the Consumer Price Index and Producer Price Index. These indices account for consumption and production costs, not the prices of assets like stocks, bonds, and real estate. Consumption doesn't seem to have increased much, so CPI and PPI won't increase too much either. The average consumer is recovering from a banking crisis that negatively impacted their credit scores, so they'll take a bit longer to recover than most companies and the general stock market.
Posted by Shepherd88
Member since Dec 2013
4662 posts
Posted on 7/20/16 at 8:18 am to
I got ya, I misunderstood your first post but to my point, if cheap money was lent out like everyone thinks it was, then consumption and inflation would realize that. My point is, it hasn't, you can see that in M2 supply as well.

DabigFella, if that's really your argument, which essentially every economist and analyst would disagree with you on. Then I got nothing else for your ignorance.
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