re: What are you guys actuall expecting from our rookie?

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Why couldn't you do both?

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You could do both. IMO, it's incredibly unwise and highly unlikely to work at this point, but anything is possible.

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Say you blow it up and win 30 games next year with Davis. Then, 40. Then 47, then 55

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I mean that could happen. But, again, it is highly improbable. A team with #6, 2017 first (which will most likely not be high enough to get them a foundational piece), Davis, and role players is going to follow that trajectory? Aren't we in a thread created, in part, to temper rookie expectations?

AND they have to bank on Davis being cool with them dumping all his teammates/friends (after they dumped his coach) to be bad for a couple of years in the hope that it pays off 3 years from now and he gets back to the playoffs.

What you're proposing is Thunder type trajectory. The Pels have their Durant, but if they want that type of improvement, they need their Jeff Green, Westbrook, Harden, and Ibaka. Finding one or two guys like that is possible, if unlikely. That type of total talent influx is impossible given the Pels assets.

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the goal should be to be great in 2019 with a sustainable long term roster. 2016-17 be damned

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I agree 100%. But I don't think you can get there by dumping the roster around Davis. The return is not worth the risk.

Be patient and smart this summer. No more dumb contracts or selling off lottery picks. I do believe they can be back in the playoff picture w/ just decent Ryno/Gordon replacements (Courtney Lee/Marvin Williams?) and health from Davis/Holiday. That happens, they can get some "team on the rise" buzz again. There is a lot of time left to build a winner around Davis, but the time for doing it via high draft picks has passed.