Brandon Harris not improving would go against SEC West past 5 years

This is a quote from a poster in the Barrett Sallee thread and I thought that my answer would serve better as a starting topic.

quote:

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Will someone who makes this claim please for once back it up with some real information? People on here say every year that [insert year of current starting QB] is the year most QBs show the most improvement. I doubt there is any statistically significant trend on exactly when, how much and how often QBs improve, but like apparently everyone who keeps making this bullshite claim, I haven't looked it up, so I don't know.

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SEC West QBs last 5 years: 1st year starting and then 2nd year

Johnny Manziel Yr 1 - 68% 3706 pass yards 8.5 ypa 26 TDs 9 ints
Johnny Manziel Yr 2 - 69.9% 4114 pass yards 9.6 ypa 37 TDs 13 ints

Dak Prescott Yr 1 (7 starts, 11 games played - 58.4% 1940 pass yards 7.3 ypa 10 TDs 7 ints
Dak Prescott Yr 2 - 61.6% 3449 pass yards 8.7 ypa 27 TDs 11 ints

AJ McCarron Yr 1 - 66.8% 2634 pass yards 8.0 ypa 16 TDs 5 ints
AJ McCarron Yr 2 - 67.2% 3063 pass yards 9.3 ypa 30 TDs 3 ints

Zach Mettenberger Yr 1 - 58.8% 2609 pass yards 7.4 ypa 12 TDs 7 ints
Zach Mettenberger Yr 2 - 64.9% 3082 pass yards 10.4 ypa 22 TDs 8 ints

Tyler Russell Yr 1 (started 6 games before injury, 9 games played) - 53.5% 1034 pass yards 8.0 ypa 8 TDs 4 ints
Tyler Russell Yr 2 - 58.6% 2897 pass yards 7.4 ypa 24 TDs 10 ints

Brandon Allen Yr 1 - 49.6% 1552 pass yards 6.0 ypa 13 TDs 10 ints
Brandon Allen Yr 2 - 56% 2285 pass yards 6.7 ypa 20 TDs 5 ints

Nick Marshall Yr 1 - 59.4% 1940 pass yards 8.3 ypa 14 TDs 6 ints
Nick Marshall Yr 2 - 60.8% 2523 pass yards 8.6 ypa 20 TDs 7 ints


There were only two guys that didn't greatly improve passing from year one to year two and those two are Bo Wallace and Tyler Wilson. Tyler Wilson was the only guy that regressed. While Bo's YPA and TDs dipped on almost 50 more passes, he had 7 less ints and a slightly higher pass completion in his 2nd year. Tyler Wilson lost his top two WRs (over 1750 yards and 15 TDs on 120 catches) and almost his entire offensive coaching staff after the Petrino firing.

Brandon Harris brings back his coaching staff, improves with more precise QB coaching, and brings back damn near the entire offensive production from last year. He has several experienced pass catching options that will go high in the draft as well.


So to reiterate the headline, It would actually go AGAINST the past 5 years and say a returning starter QB in the SEC West won't produce better results. It's ridiculous on anyone's part to say our returning starter QB won't improve just because we have Les Miles and Cam Cameron still leading the ship.