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re: Stealing third with no outs.

Posted on 2/21/16 at 9:05 pm to
Posted by LSU92
New Orleans
Member since Jan 2008
2435 posts
Posted on 2/21/16 at 9:05 pm to
[quote]Dee Gordon was 8 of 9 on his attempts to steal 3rd base in 2015. The numbers say a guy like that should steal 3rd with 0 outs AND he should steal 3rd with 2 outs. Stealing 3rd at Dee Gordon's rate would produce .11 more runs than staying at 2nd base would, on average. ]

I don't think Dee Gordon has any eligibility left.

This post was edited on 2/21/16 at 9:06 pm
Posted by LSU FAMILY
HOUMA
Member since Oct 2005
688 posts
Posted on 2/21/16 at 9:32 pm to
You steal 3rd on the pitcher...not the catcher. Some pitchers have a habbit of one look to 2nd then turn toward home with a pause before going home. The runner can pick up on this and get a slip step going to give him a big jump.
And you get a split second advantage if there is a right rand batter at the plate. He can stand his ground and the catcher has to make a step to the left to throw behind the batter. Catcher does not get his entire body into the throw.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
85386 posts
Posted on 2/21/16 at 9:41 pm to
quote:

I don't think Dee Gordon has any eligibility left.




I'm just using elite MLB runners. Guys like Deichmann are comparable on the collegiate level when you account for generally less talented pitchers/catchers in college as well.
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