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re: Stealing third with no outs.

Posted on 2/21/16 at 8:11 pm to
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
85387 posts
Posted on 2/21/16 at 8:11 pm to
quote:

There is absolutely ZERO reason to steal third with no outs unless the catcher is missing an arm completely.


Not true at all actually. You don't still 3rd at random, but if you get to certain points in your primary lead and/or you've got a great read on the pitcher, you should do it.

Dee Gordon was 8 of 9 on his attempts to steal 3rd base in 2015. The numbers say a guy like that should steal 3rd with 0 outs AND he should steal 3rd with 2 outs.

Stealing 3rd at Dee Gordon's rate would produce .11 more runs than staying at 2nd base would, on average.
Posted by LSU92
New Orleans
Member since Jan 2008
2435 posts
Posted on 2/21/16 at 9:05 pm to
[quote]Dee Gordon was 8 of 9 on his attempts to steal 3rd base in 2015. The numbers say a guy like that should steal 3rd with 0 outs AND he should steal 3rd with 2 outs. Stealing 3rd at Dee Gordon's rate would produce .11 more runs than staying at 2nd base would, on average. ]

I don't think Dee Gordon has any eligibility left.

This post was edited on 2/21/16 at 9:06 pm
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