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Message

New to the Forum, any other biotech guys on here????
Posted on 8/11/15 at 10:56 pm
Posted on 8/11/15 at 10:56 pm
Im new to the forum, Im an LSU grad, a big football fan, and always read around on here and never made an account till now, had some free time tonight while on a business trip, anyways was curious if there were any other biotech guys on this forum. Im a full time trader, biotech only guy so I don't have much to contribute except in that field but anyways wanted to introduce myself and some names I like and see if any of you guys are in them and want to discuss further or have any other names that might intrigue me
BLUE - my #1 favorite, prob the most exciting bio name I've ever seen, prob cures sickle cell disease & gets acquired in the next 12 months
RTRX
CEMP
TTPH
Those are my big 4 for now,Im not really into the big names like GILD,BIIB, or CELG, but I'm also not into the bioturds either, rarely get into sub $200m companies, unless theres something really special potentially like AFMD, TRIL or PIRS but anyways, just wanted to say hi and see if there were other LSU football guys I end up meeting who love science haha
Nice to meet everyone, hope I have alot to contribute
BLUE - my #1 favorite, prob the most exciting bio name I've ever seen, prob cures sickle cell disease & gets acquired in the next 12 months
RTRX
CEMP
TTPH
Those are my big 4 for now,Im not really into the big names like GILD,BIIB, or CELG, but I'm also not into the bioturds either, rarely get into sub $200m companies, unless theres something really special potentially like AFMD, TRIL or PIRS but anyways, just wanted to say hi and see if there were other LSU football guys I end up meeting who love science haha
Nice to meet everyone, hope I have alot to contribute
Posted on 8/11/15 at 11:04 pm to lsutraderman
quote:Was $194 in late May. What caused the large losses to today? Down almost 1/3
BLUE - my #1 favorite, prob the most exciting bio name I've ever seen, prob cures sickle cell disease & gets acquired in the next 12 months
Posted on 8/11/15 at 11:06 pm to lsutraderman
i got into the biotechs in the last few years, but frankly i should run away because i am not active enough. mostly because i am more into the speculative plays.
owned SNTS and TSRX and were bought out.
currently up on GILD, ACAD, HALO, RMTI. about even on EPZM.
losing my arse on IDRA and MNKD.
my biggest problem is hitting the sell button.

owned SNTS and TSRX and were bought out.
currently up on GILD, ACAD, HALO, RMTI. about even on EPZM.
losing my arse on IDRA and MNKD.
my biggest problem is hitting the sell button.
Posted on 8/11/15 at 11:14 pm to TigerTatorTots
Look I could ramble on forever on why bluebird goes to $500+ which it probably does but the selloff recently is overall risk off in bioland. There have been some other factors like this GBT ipo tomorrow which is kinda laughable when I search the twitter feeds bc people are saying this will hurt bluebird.
The reality is GBT is for early stage sickle cell and bluebird is dealing with severe SCD aka patients about to die. There is no way this small molecule once a day pill from GBT is going to reverse your DNA like what bluebird is doing via gene therapy. BLUE gene therapy is literally the best data we've seen in the history of gene therapy:cures in ALD,Beta Thal and now probably SCD as the CEO yesterday mentioned an unheard of patient 6 months post treatment not even on painkillers.
There is a reason bluebird has risen to $5B on no product, and that reason is funds are loaded into the best science on the planet imo, bar none. $194 was a little piggish, but down here its a steal and nothing more can be said, they have over $900M in cash and proof of concept in their lentiviral vector and genome editing platform, multiple cures at this point in multiple indications wouldn't shock me.
Also today news hit of the CEO selling 125k shares, but those were exercised options and he has plenty left, but this is a name that ran from $17 to $135 today in 12 months and diversifying his net worth isn't ridiculous, so I don't blame him. Anyways the GBT tomorrow is a pill, this is a highly active small molecule playing with your blood, and you gotta take it lifetime? ill pass but for now the twitter feeds and analysts are acting worried like it could take market share from bluebird, i say no chance and actually matter of fact if bluebird didn't exist this GBT would IPO at $5 tomorrow instead of $20. I see GBT as prob 10% chance of success maybe a little more, but for now its messing with the bluebird.
I will say there are of course risks in bluebird, like the small patient population develops something like leukemia or someone dies, but for me, the science is so cutting edge, and they've had the best data I've ever seen to this point in a biotech, that I have to be deep in it. I still think it runs hard into the DEC ASH conference and prob is $200 or so before the data and possibly $300+ after if the data remains constant which i see no reason why it wouldn't be based on what we know to this point.
Haha is that a good enough response?
The reality is GBT is for early stage sickle cell and bluebird is dealing with severe SCD aka patients about to die. There is no way this small molecule once a day pill from GBT is going to reverse your DNA like what bluebird is doing via gene therapy. BLUE gene therapy is literally the best data we've seen in the history of gene therapy:cures in ALD,Beta Thal and now probably SCD as the CEO yesterday mentioned an unheard of patient 6 months post treatment not even on painkillers.
There is a reason bluebird has risen to $5B on no product, and that reason is funds are loaded into the best science on the planet imo, bar none. $194 was a little piggish, but down here its a steal and nothing more can be said, they have over $900M in cash and proof of concept in their lentiviral vector and genome editing platform, multiple cures at this point in multiple indications wouldn't shock me.
Also today news hit of the CEO selling 125k shares, but those were exercised options and he has plenty left, but this is a name that ran from $17 to $135 today in 12 months and diversifying his net worth isn't ridiculous, so I don't blame him. Anyways the GBT tomorrow is a pill, this is a highly active small molecule playing with your blood, and you gotta take it lifetime? ill pass but for now the twitter feeds and analysts are acting worried like it could take market share from bluebird, i say no chance and actually matter of fact if bluebird didn't exist this GBT would IPO at $5 tomorrow instead of $20. I see GBT as prob 10% chance of success maybe a little more, but for now its messing with the bluebird.
I will say there are of course risks in bluebird, like the small patient population develops something like leukemia or someone dies, but for me, the science is so cutting edge, and they've had the best data I've ever seen to this point in a biotech, that I have to be deep in it. I still think it runs hard into the DEC ASH conference and prob is $200 or so before the data and possibly $300+ after if the data remains constant which i see no reason why it wouldn't be based on what we know to this point.
Haha is that a good enough response?
Posted on 8/11/15 at 11:21 pm to donRANDOMnumbers
Don HALO is solid, randall kirk is in that, my favorite biotech investor ever, he's in XON and ZIOP, XON is my second favorite name and synthetic biology is prob the future of the world, yesterday he went a little jurassic park on me with the genetically modified mosquitos but I've met with intrexon management and their science is so cutting edge its truly under wraps nobody really knows what the hell intrexon is doing but I wouldn't be shocked to see them be 10-20x from here one day. Right now it got repriced bc it got a little ahead of itself, but kirk is a guy I would never bet against. HALO is one of his favorites, and I think they got some promising stuff coming with ZIOP
MNKD, cut and run, thats about as big a bioturd as you can get, we joke around about the dream boat being the nightmare boat lol that stuff will kill you man, thats the ultimate retail bag holder name. The valuation is so nutty relative to what they sell and OMG they will never do anything I can promise you that. Sanofi is just laughing imo at whats going on and Al Mann is just awful, even his eyes thats another piece of junk but no offense MNKD is a short it and forget it name, maybe it has some squeezes here and there but overall its not a long in any way
Affrezza is just an awful drug man, it gives you lung cancer lol and management recently puts out a thing saying put your shares in cash account so they cant be borrowed LOL cmon man they're acting like its an OTC penny stock haha cracks me up, real amateur stuff going on there, thats not even science. I honestly think MNKD goes MNKDq and prob is an otc name one day, no real scientist like myself will tell you otherwise and if they do they're just lunatics.
MNKD, cut and run, thats about as big a bioturd as you can get, we joke around about the dream boat being the nightmare boat lol that stuff will kill you man, thats the ultimate retail bag holder name. The valuation is so nutty relative to what they sell and OMG they will never do anything I can promise you that. Sanofi is just laughing imo at whats going on and Al Mann is just awful, even his eyes thats another piece of junk but no offense MNKD is a short it and forget it name, maybe it has some squeezes here and there but overall its not a long in any way
Affrezza is just an awful drug man, it gives you lung cancer lol and management recently puts out a thing saying put your shares in cash account so they cant be borrowed LOL cmon man they're acting like its an OTC penny stock haha cracks me up, real amateur stuff going on there, thats not even science. I honestly think MNKD goes MNKDq and prob is an otc name one day, no real scientist like myself will tell you otherwise and if they do they're just lunatics.
Posted on 8/11/15 at 11:50 pm to lsutraderman
Took a long position in ESPR @ $19 two years ago and sold 1/4 of it at $80, 1/4 at $90, 1/4 at $110 and now left with last 1/4...need it to pop again
Posted on 8/11/15 at 11:54 pm to 3morereps
ESPR is a decent name but it doesn't have massive upside anymore, the CEO was saying he couldn't sleep at night when it was $100 and rightfully so, regeneron is gonna get the bulk of that market, granted cholesterol is a huge market.
PCK9k whatever im not buying it, ESPR drug is fine, overreaction imo they will prove it, but better names out there with less risk IMO.PCK9k is the name of the pathway REGN drug inhibits they call em "PCK9K inhibitors" fwiw just wanted to be clear.its a cholesterol related pathway and you can block it creates good effect, its great, the only hope ESPR has imo is ESRX not gonna be impressed with the price tag REGN gives them, thats were ESPR comes in ala GILD and ABBV late 2014 situation
PCK9k whatever im not buying it, ESPR drug is fine, overreaction imo they will prove it, but better names out there with less risk IMO.PCK9k is the name of the pathway REGN drug inhibits they call em "PCK9K inhibitors" fwiw just wanted to be clear.its a cholesterol related pathway and you can block it creates good effect, its great, the only hope ESPR has imo is ESRX not gonna be impressed with the price tag REGN gives them, thats were ESPR comes in ala GILD and ABBV late 2014 situation
This post was edited on 8/12/15 at 12:03 am
Posted on 8/12/15 at 12:11 am to lsutraderman
Also any of you guys in ANAC, I'm pretty sure it gets acquired very shortly, interested if anyone has any insight on it, another small molecule name with some great funds in it, up 200% last few months but this a perfect buyout name imo with a small revenue stream and derisked product
Posted on 8/12/15 at 12:12 am to lsutraderman
Why do I feel like investing with you would result in me losing a kidney?
Posted on 8/12/15 at 12:13 am to Spirit of Dunson
LOL ok, well how about you watch the names I mentioned and we talk again in 6 months? Investing in oil and gold will make you lose kidneys, I invest in quality biotech and I'm seeing if any other guys have any bios for me to dig into, its my forte and I'm always up for new names
This post was edited on 8/12/15 at 12:17 am
Posted on 8/12/15 at 2:12 am to lsutraderman
haha.
I'm just messing with you. Welcome to the board.
You just seem a little too earnest very quickly. I felt like I was reading a press release from Blue in your earlier post.
I'm just messing with you. Welcome to the board.
You just seem a little too earnest very quickly. I felt like I was reading a press release from Blue in your earlier post.
Posted on 8/12/15 at 2:12 am to lsutraderman
How about 6 years?
Kidding. The first post, buy now and triple your money does scream pump and dump. Just sayin'.
Hope you make some cheese.
ETA- not sure why I was being nice earlier. This guy is crazy.
Hope you make some cheese.
ETA- not sure why I was being nice earlier. This guy is crazy.
This post was edited on 8/12/15 at 12:21 pm
Posted on 8/12/15 at 2:16 am to TigerDeBaiter
quote:
does scream pump and dump. Just sayin'.
Posted on 8/12/15 at 2:30 am to Spirit of Dunson
LOL wow could you two be any more ignorant? Haha its a tad comical, I was searching for other guys who understood biotech and you two clearly do not. Whether you choose to believe me or not, I don't have the power to pump and dump a $5B biotech company trading at $135/share lol this isn't a penny stock.
Regardless of what you two intellectual mammoths believe, bluebird is on the cutting edge of scientific discovery and if you understood how large a step for mankind what they're doing is you'd change your point of view. Gene therapy has been around for 30 years and its failed pretty much every which way till bluebird presented data last christmas showing pretty much full blown cures in 4 beta thalassemia patients, the creation of hemoglobin led them to believe that sickle cell disease, the largest of orphan diseases could also in theory probably be cured.....we will find out this dec if thats the case.
It would be nice if you guys would stick to commenting on what you know vs trying to break up a thread where I was seeking other scientifically intelligent posters, you two clearly don't fit that bill, please go back to the thread where you recommended gold and re-renter this thread when you have even the slightest knowledge of science and where the sector is headed. Gene therapy is the next big forefront and multiple other companies have failed this year alone CLDN and AAVL come to mind, well the AAV vector has been a complete flop and the lentiviral vector which bluebird happens to work with seems to be curing a few blood disorders, and the real question is how many other hematological disorders can bluebird go after and potentially cure.
Bluebird is playing God, rewriting genes, taking sickled cells and making people healthy and normal, its mind blowing.The next time you call a company a pump and dump make sure it doesn't have the best data of the last 30 years along with curative solutions to previously incurable diseases like beta thal and sickle cell. O and also pump and dumps don't have $900M in cash, actually 99% of biotech companies don't have $900M in cash, but this $4.5B company does......
I hope my rebuttal pipes you down......
Now any other science guys in here wanna chat, Im all ears, and always love a great discussion with intelligent minds.
LMAO $2.5M potential treatments per patient and you two guys are calling it a pump and dump, my o my the ignorance some of you display without even so much as googling for 2 seconds is hilarious of course I'm a scientist by trade but a trader by occupation so of course I clearly don't expect you to look at things the way I do in this space. Have you even looked at the options chain, there is an enormous move being price in after december. Anyways best of luck, I suggest you short bluebird since I'm out here pumping it you might make some money if you're right.......
Regardless of what you two intellectual mammoths believe, bluebird is on the cutting edge of scientific discovery and if you understood how large a step for mankind what they're doing is you'd change your point of view. Gene therapy has been around for 30 years and its failed pretty much every which way till bluebird presented data last christmas showing pretty much full blown cures in 4 beta thalassemia patients, the creation of hemoglobin led them to believe that sickle cell disease, the largest of orphan diseases could also in theory probably be cured.....we will find out this dec if thats the case.
It would be nice if you guys would stick to commenting on what you know vs trying to break up a thread where I was seeking other scientifically intelligent posters, you two clearly don't fit that bill, please go back to the thread where you recommended gold and re-renter this thread when you have even the slightest knowledge of science and where the sector is headed. Gene therapy is the next big forefront and multiple other companies have failed this year alone CLDN and AAVL come to mind, well the AAV vector has been a complete flop and the lentiviral vector which bluebird happens to work with seems to be curing a few blood disorders, and the real question is how many other hematological disorders can bluebird go after and potentially cure.
Bluebird is playing God, rewriting genes, taking sickled cells and making people healthy and normal, its mind blowing.The next time you call a company a pump and dump make sure it doesn't have the best data of the last 30 years along with curative solutions to previously incurable diseases like beta thal and sickle cell. O and also pump and dumps don't have $900M in cash, actually 99% of biotech companies don't have $900M in cash, but this $4.5B company does......
I hope my rebuttal pipes you down......
Now any other science guys in here wanna chat, Im all ears, and always love a great discussion with intelligent minds.
LMAO $2.5M potential treatments per patient and you two guys are calling it a pump and dump, my o my the ignorance some of you display without even so much as googling for 2 seconds is hilarious of course I'm a scientist by trade but a trader by occupation so of course I clearly don't expect you to look at things the way I do in this space. Have you even looked at the options chain, there is an enormous move being price in after december. Anyways best of luck, I suggest you short bluebird since I'm out here pumping it you might make some money if you're right.......
This post was edited on 8/12/15 at 2:40 am
Posted on 8/12/15 at 3:00 am to lsutraderman
simmer down, bud.
quote:Publications?
I'm a scientist by trade
Posted on 8/12/15 at 3:07 am to Spirit of Dunson
Yea, because i'm going to post my name all over a forum, if you can't get from my few posts that I'm well versed in this space, I don't know what to tell you. Again I wasn't seeking to give out investment advice, I was just seeking other fellow LSU football fans who happened to be in the bio space......anyways best of luck
FWIW I have worked on a few orphan drugs in my career, and I can tell you without a doubt the names I listed above whether it be blue or rtrx or cemp or ttph, keep those on your watch list and see what happens over the next 12 months, then come back and remind me of how I'm a pumper
BLUE - $135
CEMP - $38
RTRX - $31.38
TTPH - $44
Just keep an eye on those and I bet barring a meltdown in china or the XBI, those will easily cruise past the SPY or whatever performance benchmark you measure up to, some of the finest science around in those names
FWIW I have worked on a few orphan drugs in my career, and I can tell you without a doubt the names I listed above whether it be blue or rtrx or cemp or ttph, keep those on your watch list and see what happens over the next 12 months, then come back and remind me of how I'm a pumper
BLUE - $135
CEMP - $38
RTRX - $31.38
TTPH - $44
Just keep an eye on those and I bet barring a meltdown in china or the XBI, those will easily cruise past the SPY or whatever performance benchmark you measure up to, some of the finest science around in those names
Posted on 8/12/15 at 3:16 am to lsutraderman
Alright man.
I just see "I am a scientist" thrown around a lot as a way to build credibility. I have a PhD in Chemical / Biomedical engineering and I don't even call myself a "scientist" despite a few publications and patents. Having a degree in chemistry doesn't a scientist make.
You seem very informed of the biotech field. We were just commenting that your style earlier in the thread seemed a bit salesish. Just an observation, man.
I just see "I am a scientist" thrown around a lot as a way to build credibility. I have a PhD in Chemical / Biomedical engineering and I don't even call myself a "scientist" despite a few publications and patents. Having a degree in chemistry doesn't a scientist make.
You seem very informed of the biotech field. We were just commenting that your style earlier in the thread seemed a bit salesish. Just an observation, man.
Posted on 8/12/15 at 3:23 am to Spirit of Dunson
How was it salesish???? I was just seeing if there were other LSU football fans who have a keen interest in science such as myself? I laid out my interests and was hoping to connect with others who share the same interest.
Wow you're a scientist and haven't heard of bluebird or intrexon which are probably the 2 companies every scientist on the planet are gushing over in terms of potential? Interesting, odd, but interesting.
With such a proficient science background how are you not an avid investor in any of these biotechs I named, they're all the highest of quality with some of the lowest risk profiles around sans bluebird, CEMP and TTPH are antibiotics and the antibiotic space is easy money look at what Cubist was acquired for and CEMP and TTPH more than likely get bought soon too
I definitely would not have assumed you to be a scientist, no offense, your posting style just didn't leave me thinking this is an analytical guy who is eloquent and articulate, you just jumped out at me and assumed I was pumping a $5B company.
Science guys all over the world are trying to break into the fields bluebird and intrexon are in and honestly all BS aside 10x on both wouldn't shock me one bit, the potential is certainly there for both companies, just shocked a science guy like yourself is so out of the loop on synthetic biology and gene therapy and genome editing.......
Odd
Anyways best of luck
Wow you're a scientist and haven't heard of bluebird or intrexon which are probably the 2 companies every scientist on the planet are gushing over in terms of potential? Interesting, odd, but interesting.
With such a proficient science background how are you not an avid investor in any of these biotechs I named, they're all the highest of quality with some of the lowest risk profiles around sans bluebird, CEMP and TTPH are antibiotics and the antibiotic space is easy money look at what Cubist was acquired for and CEMP and TTPH more than likely get bought soon too
I definitely would not have assumed you to be a scientist, no offense, your posting style just didn't leave me thinking this is an analytical guy who is eloquent and articulate, you just jumped out at me and assumed I was pumping a $5B company.
Science guys all over the world are trying to break into the fields bluebird and intrexon are in and honestly all BS aside 10x on both wouldn't shock me one bit, the potential is certainly there for both companies, just shocked a science guy like yourself is so out of the loop on synthetic biology and gene therapy and genome editing.......
Odd
Anyways best of luck
This post was edited on 8/12/15 at 3:26 am
Posted on 8/12/15 at 3:33 am to lsutraderman
quote:Where did I say I haven't heard of them? It was purely a comment on style, not content.
haven't heard of bluebird or intrexon
quote:There is a lot more science out there than biotech.
the 2 companies every scientist on the planet are gushing over
quote:Different strokes for different folks.
how are you not an avid investor in any of these biotechs I named
quote:how many scientists do you know? Eloquent? It is a message board, man.
analytical guy who is eloquent and articulate
quote:I said the style seemed that way based on your extensive use of superlatives. I know it is not really a pump and dump.
and assumed I was pumping a $5B company
quote:thanks! you too!
Anyways best of luck
Posted on 8/12/15 at 7:15 am to lsutraderman
I'm not a biotech yet, but I'm probably gonna use this list to look for jobs today
. Job market is really small for biology grads right now
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