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re: OFFICIAL Week 1 College Football Bet Thread

Posted on 9/1/15 at 4:00 pm to
Posted by accnodefense
Trump Fan
Member since Dec 2010
6279 posts
Posted on 9/1/15 at 4:00 pm to
quote:

Sparty gon roll?


My system has Western Michigan covering 82.5% of the time. I don't trust my system that much this early in the season, but I think Michigan State is the squarest play on the board this week and I don't think people are giving Western Michigan enough respect

Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
47155 posts
Posted on 9/1/15 at 4:13 pm to
Here is my take on the Michigan State/WMU matchup.

Michigan State returns 7 on offense and 7 on defense.

Western Michigan returns 9 on offense and 7 on defense.

Both return their QB: Connor Cook and Zach Terrell.

WMU returns a great RB in Franklin, but Michigan State's run defense allowed 78 ypg vs non-conference foes at 2.5 ypc. 173 of those yards was against Oregon. The other 3 non-conference games ran for 140 combined; a 1.97 ypc clip. I expect a simar run-stopping MSU defense this year.

They did give up 210 ypg passing to non-conference foes last season, and one of those was 318 vs Oregon. The other 3 only averaged 175 passing.

I don't expect WMU to eclipse 325 total yards on offense, but I do expect MSU to score in the 40s here.

WMU will not score enough to keep it close. I expect something like 45-17.

The only common opponent from last year was Purdue, who beat WMU 23-14 to open the season. Michigan St defeated Purdue 45-31 mid-season.

This post was edited on 9/1/15 at 4:18 pm
Posted by blades8088
Covington
Member since Nov 2008
4202 posts
Posted on 9/1/15 at 4:47 pm to
Not sure how Sparty is any more square that TCU or Ohio St, but ok
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