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re: Why should Laird settle for $100 K rather than return to LSU?

Posted on 6/10/15 at 1:56 pm to
Posted by dnm3305
Member since Feb 2009
13663 posts
Posted on 6/10/15 at 1:56 pm to
quote:

He has some leverage now (turn the offer down to return to school) He has zero leverage next year (turn the offer down and end baseball career). Odd are slim that he has a year that would increase his draft position enough to get a bigger offer. Take 100k now or 80k next year


Again, all of that is based on an assumption that he will be drafted later than the 9th round next year.
Posted by MOT
Member since Jul 2006
28071 posts
Posted on 6/10/15 at 2:08 pm to
quote:

Again, all of that is based on an assumption that he will be drafted later than the 9th round next year.

No it isn't. He could be drafted in the exact same spot as he was yesterday and be lucky to get half of the offer he currently has.
Posted by lsufball19
Franklin, TN
Member since Sep 2008
65529 posts
Posted on 6/10/15 at 2:09 pm to
quote:

Again, all of that is based on an assumption that he will be drafted later than the 9th round next year.

no it's not. if he's drafted in the exact same round, his signing bonus will drop. blake dean was drafted two rounds higher after his junior year and was offered less money. He was drafted in the 10th round in 2009 and offered bteween $150-200k from the Twins (per his father). He was drafted in the 8th round in 2010 and signed for $35k with the Dodgers. It's not that we don't think he's going to get drafted later, it's that the only way to get more money by returning is if you move up into the first 2 rounds. otherwise, you get offered FAR LESS, even if drafted higher. That is why people keep repeating the leverage a junior has over a senior. It matters a whole lot.
This post was edited on 6/10/15 at 2:10 pm
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