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re: Official Erin Energy (ERN) thread

Posted on 7/6/15 at 10:14 am to
Posted by LSU9102
West of the Mississippi
Member since Mar 2007
2476 posts
Posted on 7/6/15 at 10:14 am to
Price of oil dropping today to $54.20 right now with a decrease of -4.80% isn't helping any of these companies in the oil and gas industry.

How low will it go and will there a be a time back where it is $65/barrell or higher?
Posted by Iowa Golfer
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
10246 posts
Posted on 7/6/15 at 2:30 pm to
$400K daily is approximate cost of rig.. Divided by 16K BOD. On OE yet. They need to make $28 per barrel.

Certainly isn't helping Erin Energy, but it is helpful to me in acquiring more of a still risky, but undervalued company given it's potential and current cash flow.

It's below $5. No one is paying loose enough attention to realize the above.

"there are no $100 bills lying on the street" But only if those smarter than I are paying attention. And they aren't here. They weren't in the case of LTCM either. Another bailout for a bunch of guys all smarter than us. Interestingly enough, their play on Royal Dutch would have eventually paid, if they didn't tkae banker's advice and overleverage resulting in their need to liquidate at a large loss. The same situation appears here. Loosely in the valualtion to risk pricing model, and certainly in the dual listing.

But what would I know? I'm not a banker (haven't had to declare bankrutcy either. Or get a taxpayer funded bailout for stupidity). I'm just some guy from Iowa.


As another aside, if anyone thinks the bankers didn't have warning after 1998, or whenever the LTCM debacle occurred about what could, and was almost guarantees to happen in 2008, they'd be brainwashed by their banker employer, or are completely uninformed, and choose to get their information force fed to them, rather than think for themselves.

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