re: 2015 Season-Long Hurricane Thread - Watching Invest 96L

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SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 745 PM EDT THU MAY 7 2015 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Observations from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that the area of low pressure located about 180 miles south-southeast of the South Carolina-North Carolina border continues to produce 40-45 mph winds mainly to the north and west of the center. Satellite images show some increase in the associated thunderstorm activity and if this trend continues, the system would become a subtropical cyclone later tonight. The low is expected to drift toward the north or north-northwest over the next couple of days, and interests along the southeastern coast of the United States should continue to monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of development, heavy rain is expected over portions of the coastal southeastern United States for the next few days. For additional information, see products from your local National Weather Service forecast office and High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this system is scheduled for 2 AM EDT on Friday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service are available under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and on the Web at www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml $$ Forecaster Pasch

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