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Was LSU one of 10 unluckiest teams last season?: Ron Higgins
Posted on 2/24/15 at 2:54 pm
Posted on 2/24/15 at 2:54 pm
LINK
Wunderlich used Pythagorean expectation to determine that the Tigers were the SEC's second unluckiest team in 2014 and 118th unluckiest among 125 FBS teams.
The Pythagorean expectation is by using the total of points scored and points allowed by a team, you can estimate a team's winning percentage. Multiply that by the number of games played to get a projected win total (Pythagorean wins). The difference between the estimated numbers of wins and the actual win count is considered to be luck.
Using this formula, Wunderlich calculated LSU at a minus 1.69 luck factor, only ahead in the SEC of Arkansas' minus 2.99, which made the Razorbacks the unluckiest major college team in the nation last season.
Wunderlich used Pythagorean expectation to determine that the Tigers were the SEC's second unluckiest team in 2014 and 118th unluckiest among 125 FBS teams.
The Pythagorean expectation is by using the total of points scored and points allowed by a team, you can estimate a team's winning percentage. Multiply that by the number of games played to get a projected win total (Pythagorean wins). The difference between the estimated numbers of wins and the actual win count is considered to be luck.
Using this formula, Wunderlich calculated LSU at a minus 1.69 luck factor, only ahead in the SEC of Arkansas' minus 2.99, which made the Razorbacks the unluckiest major college team in the nation last season.
This post was edited on 2/24/15 at 2:55 pm
14
Posted on 2/24/15 at 3:03 pm to blackjackjackson
Why do people take the time to come up with meaningless stuff like this?
Posted on 2/24/15 at 3:15 pm to blackjackjackson
Nothing about luck. It's about having a qb or not.
Posted on 2/24/15 at 3:35 pm to blackjackjackson
Unlucky by not having a suitable qb.
Posted on 2/24/15 at 3:38 pm to blackjackjackson
I would say we were unlucky in 2 of our losses - bama and ND.
Bama: If Miles has time to throw the challenge flag after Cooper's trapped catch near the end of regulation, it may have been overturned and it's 4th down. (Notice how quickly bama ran up to the line to snap the ball.)
ND: If we don't have a lame duck DC we may have put them away earlier...
Bama: If Miles has time to throw the challenge flag after Cooper's trapped catch near the end of regulation, it may have been overturned and it's 4th down. (Notice how quickly bama ran up to the line to snap the ball.)
ND: If we don't have a lame duck DC we may have put them away earlier...
Posted on 2/24/15 at 3:41 pm to blackjackjackson
apparently all that bad luck didnt stop arkansas from embarrassing LSU.
I think it had more to do with being "bad", not "bad luck"
I think it had more to do with being "bad", not "bad luck"
Posted on 2/24/15 at 3:48 pm to blackjackjackson
Luck didn't have a whole lot to do with picking the starting QB
Posted on 2/24/15 at 3:52 pm to blackjackjackson
We were a few decent bounces away from beating Notre Dame, Bama and Arky (which would have brought us to 11 wins).
I'd say that's pretty goddamn unlucky.
I'd say that's pretty goddamn unlucky.
Posted on 2/24/15 at 4:07 pm to blackjackjackson
Good Teams create their own luck....can't go there with you.
Posted on 2/24/15 at 4:22 pm to blackjackjackson
Luck hates LSU
Posted on 2/24/15 at 5:02 pm to blackjackjackson
It's called coaches who don't prepare their quarterbacks. That's all plain and simple.
Posted on 2/24/15 at 5:54 pm to blackjackjackson
Unlucky?????
No, just horrific QB play.
No, just horrific QB play.
Posted on 2/24/15 at 6:01 pm to blackjackjackson
I wonder where ohio st, the team that just won a national title with a 3rd string QB making his 3rd start ever, ranks in terms of being "unlucky". I didn't see a metric quantifying losing your heisman candidate QB preseason, only to lose your other heisman candidate QB before the conference championship.
This post was edited on 2/24/15 at 6:02 pm
Posted on 2/24/15 at 7:09 pm to blackjackjackson
I'm curious to know if any of these people saying it's not luck are included in the group that says it's all luck when Miles wins. 
Posted on 2/24/15 at 8:08 pm to blackjackjackson
We were unlucky, but that Arksnsas, Auburn, ND loss was flat embarrassing.
Cam robinson's "LOL" tweet after Bama shows the respect we've lost to the real teams
Time to earn it back
Cam robinson's "LOL" tweet after Bama shows the respect we've lost to the real teams
Time to earn it back
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