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re: Big FOMC Meeting Today

Posted on 12/17/14 at 4:55 pm to
Posted by BennyAndTheInkJets
Middle of a layover
Member since Nov 2010
5626 posts
Posted on 12/17/14 at 4:55 pm to
quote:

"Markets have been priced ~60-70% for mid 2015 rate hikes"

This comes from looking at the forward OIS curves and the Eurodollar curves. It would be a lot easier to me to explain if I could use photobucket at work (or a Bloomberg terminal at home). It's not an exact science, but as close as you can come. In a simplified sense, its where your forward rate, minus your term premium, indicates at least a 25bps increase in rates.
This post was edited on 12/17/14 at 4:57 pm
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
127355 posts
Posted on 12/17/14 at 5:03 pm to
quote:

This comes from looking at the forward OIS curves and the Eurodollar curves. It would be a lot easier to me to explain if I could use photobucket at work (or a Bloomberg terminal at home). It's not an exact science, but as close as you can come. In a simplified sense, its where your forward rate, minus your term premium, indicates at least a 25bps increase in rates.

You did a better job of explaining it than I would. I was just going to say, "it involves math and shite."
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