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re: Democrat Underground: Jonathan Gruber

Posted on 11/14/14 at 10:40 pm to
Posted by CajunAlum Tiger Fan
The Great State of Louisiana
Member since Jan 2008
7906 posts
Posted on 11/14/14 at 10:40 pm to
quote:

Of course, I predicted the bursting of the Housing Bubble and coming financial collapse as early as 2004-05 because the basic numbers weren't adding up on the increase in housing prices. I could tell that something was up.


Link?

Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
432266 posts
Posted on 11/14/14 at 10:42 pm to
04/05 is early, but in late 06 it was discussed on here and then by 07 this board became quite full of threads about it. that constant discussion a large reason why the money board was created. col hap, jersey tiger, milehigh, etc
This post was edited on 11/14/14 at 10:44 pm
Posted by AlaTiger
America
Member since Aug 2006
21163 posts
Posted on 11/15/14 at 12:19 am to
No link. I wasn't on here then. I am not trying to say that I was warning everyone. I am simply saying that I could see it coming. There were cities all over America where housing values were going through the roof and there was no great population upswing. In other words, demand was not increasing with the number of people buying houses. It was increasing because developers were building more houses and because people were making money so more people wanted in the market. But, there was no real substance to it. The demand was soft underneath.

In my own city, housing values were going up 20-30% but the population was not growing at all. So, where was the influx in price coming from? Everyone told me that it was a stable increase, but it all looked like a bubble to me. Friends started getting into the real estate business and some started trying to flip houses. The HGTVs and other shows were telling everyone how easy it was. It all looked like a bubble. By 2006 it started to show and by 2007 it started to burst. We could see it coming.

So, no, I am not trying to say I am some great forecaster. I could just see it through simple things. Just like I could tell that Obama was lying about ACA. It didn't add up.
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