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Message
re: OFFICIAL Week 9 CFB bet thread™
Posted on 10/20/14 at 10:34 am to castorinho
Posted on 10/20/14 at 10:34 am to castorinho
quote:
quote: If 80% of the money comes in on Ole Miss
quote:
I don't see this happening though, a vast majority still look at it as Ole Miss VS powerhouse LSU and the powerhouse is getting the points at home.
I can very much see OM getting 80%. Whos viewing LSU as a powerhouse now? Nobody viewed them as a powerhouse last week only giving 10 to a Kentucky team that hasnt played or beat anybody. LSU vs Ole Miss in Death Valley at night is almost an auto close game where the team coming in high gets upset alot.
Some earlier posts suggested Vegas has undervalued OM. My only question to that is does Vegas know sharps undervalue OM and dont want to set a line to high due to big money fading OM?
Posted on 10/20/14 at 10:39 am to blades8088
quote:
Some earlier posts suggested Vegas has undervalued OM
They have them as the odds on favorite to win the NC along with Bama, I don't think this point is valid anymore.
Posted on 10/20/14 at 10:47 am to blades8088
quote:
I can very much see OM getting 80%
The "LSU Saturday Night" trend and narrative alone will keep it below 80% IMO.
My prediction after syndicates and pros get involved is 65/35 OM.
Posted on 10/20/14 at 11:16 am to blades8088
quote:
the team coming in high gets upset alot
Well not exactly. Ole Miss has played LSU close in BR for years, but there isn't much precedent for Ole Miss being favored. They were in 2008 and rolled. Other than that, Ole Miss has played a (sometimes heavily) favored LSU very close.
The only upset in this series in a long time was last year in Oxford (don't remember, but I assume Ole Miss was favored at home in 2009).
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