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re: Official Week 6 NFL Bet Thread

Posted on 10/7/14 at 12:01 pm to
Posted by AstroTiger
New Orleans Saints Fan
Member since Oct 2007
22966 posts
Posted on 10/7/14 at 12:01 pm to
quote:

Since the start of the 2013 season, the Bengals are 10-0 SU and ATS in regular-season home games, vs. 4-6 and 3-6-1 on the road. In those 10 home affairs they beat the spread by 125.5 points, a significant 12.6 per game, while on the road it has been a -46. Naturally there are some one-sided results that skew small samples, like the Sunday night outcome, but in terms of true home impact, consider the swing in results from division play in 2013:

Baltimore: +17H/-3A

Cleveland: +21H/-11A

Pittsburgh: +10H/-10A

With no other factors considered, the gap between home/away outcomes from six division games was a full 72 points – they Bengals lost by 24 on the road, and won by 48 at home.


interesting stats from What a bettor better know
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