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re: Dallas Ebola patient to be prosecuted, circle of contact increased to 100
Posted on 10/3/14 at 12:15 pm to Pettifogger
Posted on 10/3/14 at 12:15 pm to Pettifogger
quote:
highly expect that the death rate is well below 50% for those who get treatment relatively soon.
To be fair, Americans tend to be afraid of anything that has 50% chance of death. We are accustomed to much higher recovery rates.
2
Posted on 10/3/14 at 12:26 pm to LSUGrrrl
quote:To be clear, Americans will have a much higher recovery rate.
To be fair, Americans tend to be afraid of anything that has 50% chance of death. We are accustomed to much higher recovery rates.
Posted on 10/3/14 at 12:32 pm to LSUGrrrl
quote:
To be fair, Americans tend to be afraid of anything that has 50% chance of death. We are accustomed to much higher recovery rates.
I get it, and I would be too. That said, 50% is probably very conservative in the current environment for someone who is otherwise healthy and has relatively early access to supportive care.
My concern would be in the scenario where we had a widespread (even if not truly massive) outbreak, and healthcare resources were just overwhelmed. But looking at the what, 10000 cases in horrid African conditions makes that unlikely.
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