re: "Half the schools are below average" - not always true

quote:

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Almost everyone will give the wrong answer almost every time. The general public has a tough time figuring out 20% of 150 of the top of their heads; they darned sure aren't gonna get that question right.

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PhD level mathematicians and statisticians thought Savant incorrectly solved the Monty Hall problem. Conditional and Bayesian probability is often difficult to reason quickly.