re: Would the Allies have won WWII without America getting involved?

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the Nazi's would have had the atomic bomb.

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Except that they were on the wrong path and had many self-inflicted limitations that probably doomed the project they had - at least from my perspective. The Germans had an inate bias against theoretical physics, plus they (and their Italian allies) had forced the emigration of critical scientists - not the least of whom were Albert Einstein and Enrico Fermi (the latter of whom is rightfully considered the actual father of controlled nuclear fission.)

And look at all the Jewish scientists that were either prompted to leave, or discouraged from returning from overseas assignments because of Hitler's anti semitic policies...

I certainly don't think they would have gotten the bomb before Uncle Joe got them, IMHO, which would have been no later than 1947 or 1948. If they made peace around that time, maybe.