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re: Reviving the CHC Thread | CHC @ CIN | 6:10 CT | Great American Ballpark
Posted on 4/28/14 at 12:57 pm to The Sad Banana
Posted on 4/28/14 at 12:57 pm to The Sad Banana
quote:
Jake Arrieta should be returning from his rehab work soon to take Villanueva's spot in the rotation, hopefully forever.
Please God don't let Villanueva make another start. I think he will, but I hope he doesn't.
quote:
his BABIP is 0.138.
This is usually a stat of luck. I was reading a book about a big time baseball gambler and he thinks this stat is overrated. He says pitchers have no control over how a hitter hits the ball and where it goes once it is hit. True to a certain extent.
2
Posted on 4/28/14 at 1:01 pm to PurpleAndGold86
I think it has some merit in that the pitcher is getting "lucky", but it should not discredit his performance entirely. I think it would be reasonable to say, considering Hammel's WHIP, that he's pitching well and the low BABiP is indicative of him mostly pitching well and being about 20% lucky.
Posted on 4/28/14 at 1:18 pm to PurpleAndGold86
quote:
He says pitchers have no control over how a hitter hits the ball and where it goes once it is hit. True to a certain extent.
I know it's extremely rare, but I wonder how many people would've looked at Greg maddux circa 1988-1990 and said, "well, he's getting extremely lucky, his BABIP will regress and he'll be a #3/#4 guy in the rotation." I know Maddux had a few K's, but he was a pitch to contact guy a lot of the time. I do think the pitcher can control how hittable a ball is (obviously) thus leading to weak contact, which is obviously better than line drive or hard contact. In that sense, he does have some control over how a hitter hits the ball and where it goes.
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