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re: Siap, McShay and Hoge discuss Mettenberger...

Posted on 4/24/14 at 1:24 pm to
Posted by Galactic Inquisitor
An Incredibly Distant Star
Member since Dec 2013
15321 posts
Posted on 4/24/14 at 1:24 pm to
quote:

Again, I'll mention the fact that OBJ,Juice & a explosive running game helped ZM8 out a ton this year.


And I'll respond with the fact that Mett helped out OBJ, Juice, and the running game a ton this year.
This post was edited on 4/24/14 at 1:25 pm
Posted by KG5989
Das Boot
Member since Oct 2010
16324 posts
Posted on 4/24/14 at 1:28 pm to
quote:

Again, I'll mention the fact that OBJ,Juice & a explosive running game helped ZM8 out a ton this year.


And I dont think anyone is saying they didnt.

But, they werent making the throws. Mett was. And most of the time, the throws were really good. And it was in an NFL style system and he had to make NFL throws. And he did that.

The hardest ball to throw is when you are on the left hash, and you run an deep out to the right sideline. Mett made this time over and over again and made it look easy. Its the hardest ball to throw in the game because its 20 yards deep, 40 yards wide, and depending on the D it has to get there really really fast, or thrown in with superb touch over the defender in zone.

If the ball doesnt get there quick enough, its picked off because its such a long throw and takes a while to get there that the defender has enough time to recover. If its not thrown in with the perfect amount of touch, it gets picked because the defender is underneath in zone.

Mett completed that pass time and time again. And made it look easy. OBJ, Jarvis, and Hill werent making that throw. He was. Did the WRs bail him out sometimes? Sure. Did the running game take pressure off of him? Sure. But Mett also helped the WRs out and the running game a lot because of his ability to throw the ball. Its a symbiotic relationship. You run to open up the pass, and you pass to open up the run. But when it was time to throw the ball, he did a fantastic job of it and really improved his decision making and reading through his progressions.
This post was edited on 4/24/14 at 1:30 pm
Posted by JBeam
Guns,Germs & Steel
Member since Jan 2011
68377 posts
Posted on 4/24/14 at 1:34 pm to
quote:

And I'll respond with the fact that Mett helped out OBJ, Juice, and the running game a ton this year.

So Mett made OBJ & Juice better receivers?

Odell was a threat with Lee & Jefferson throwing to him. He had a slight regression early last year. But, I contribute that to him having to develop into a primary receiving threat.

Juice had beast hands and I can remember numerous times during the '12 season that he bailed ZM8 out with incredible catches.

I'm not hating him on. But, some of the expectations around here are a bit over the top. Some of you have selective memory when it comes to his QB play. Have you forgotten the Ole Miss game last year?

This post was edited on 4/24/14 at 1:35 pm
Posted by Galactic Inquisitor
An Incredibly Distant Star
Member since Dec 2013
15321 posts
Posted on 4/24/14 at 1:35 pm to
quote:

So Mett made OBJ & Juice better receivers?


No more than they made him a better quarterback. You are the one that started up this chicken/egg slippery slope. I was just pointing out the flaw in that logic.
Posted by Mahootney
Lovin' My German Footprint
Member since Sep 2008
11880 posts
Posted on 4/24/14 at 1:41 pm to
quote:

JBeam
You posted an intelligent and respectful response that dissented but wasn't adversarial. So rare on internet forums these days. I like you.

I think I'll do the same.
quote:

I don't think you can compare the two coming out of college. Brady was a QB who was benched numerous times for the prototypical QB Drew Henson. Time and time again he had to come in late in the game and engineer drives for UM to win. I'd say he was asked to do more.
Mett served the purpose of both.
quote:

I'll mention the fact that OBJ,Juice & a explosive running game helped ZM8 out a ton this year.
Yup. But it doesn't discount his arm and progress.

I've got to admit that the draft analysts try to make a case for several Qbs in every draft to be NFL starters. Guys who are probably the best in that particular draft, but aren't special compared to the talent already in the league. Quinn, Barkely, Clausen, Geno, Weeden, etc.

The truth is... that only 32-ish actually start and only the top 10-15 are truly difference makers. This fact is compounded by the 10-15 year window of college QB talent to take those 32 spots.

Is Mett a sure-fire starter? I don't think so. He's not an Elway or Luck.
Does he have the potential to be a Gabbert, Bradford, Sanchez, Ponder, or better? I think so.

So when you said:
quote:

Because comparing Mett to arguably the greatest QB in NFL history makes an ounce of sense
You were incorrect.
It makes at least TWO ounces of sense.
Later round pick.
Great hair.

Plus, my original point still stands. He's a pocket passer with an NFL arm.
quote:

Boom or bust type of talent. Similar to the likes of Vince Young. His size isn't coming into question this year because of the success of QBs like Brees & Wilson.
I like the VY comparison. Non an accurate passer, but made some highlight reels in college. So that makes me lean towards a bust like Vince. Plus, he doesn't nearly have the size of Vince or Locker to stay injury free.

If Vick, RG3, and Locker can't stay healthy with a style similar to Manziel.... what makes you think Manziel will?
This post was edited on 4/24/14 at 1:50 pm
Posted by JBeam
Guns,Germs & Steel
Member since Jan 2011
68377 posts
Posted on 4/24/14 at 1:50 pm to
quote:

I've got to admit that the draft analysts try to make a case for several Qbs in every draft to be NFL starters. Guys who are probably the best in that particular draft, but aren't special compared to the talent already in the league. Quinn, Barkely, Clausen, Geno, Weeden, etc.

The truth is... that only 32-ish actually start and only the top 10-15 are truly difference makers. This fact is compounded by the 10-15 year window of college QB talent to take those 32 spots.

I think it's got worse with analyst this year. Especially since the draft is 2 weeks later. They are fishing for any piece of information to throw on the wall [specifically at the QB position].


quote:

Is Mett a sure-fire starter? I don't think so. He's not an Elway or Luck.
Does he have the potential to be a Gabbert, Bradford, Sanchez, Ponder, or better? I think so.

He'll need to go to a situation where the offensive line & ground game is a strong suit. If Mett went to a situation like Chicago or Atlanta I'd be fearful of injury. Minnesota or Cleveland wouldn't be a bad landing spot for him especially if you are looking for him to start from day 1. Second, I agree with you that he is better than the QB's listed above. Things could be very interesting if St.Louis decided to spend a 2nd or 3rd pick on him.
Posted by Mahootney
Lovin' My German Footprint
Member since Sep 2008
11880 posts
Posted on 4/24/14 at 1:55 pm to
quote:

succeeded in them all
What do you define as succeeded?

If you swapped another Qb in his place.... I don't know... say Matt Cassel....
would the results vary that much?
quote:

So what system is the driving force behind his success?
If by success, you mean superbowl wins... I'll say the defenses and a great FG kicker.
If you mean passing records... I'll go with the CashMoneyHomey answer of Randy Moss.
If you mean winning year after year... I'd have to ask if personnel decisions, the state of their division, etc play a factor in that at all.

quote:

And if you say Belicheck you must think Joe Montana is a scrub
Very logical. If you think winning is the best indicator for QB success, you must think Marino sucked.
Posted by KG5989
Das Boot
Member since Oct 2010
16324 posts
Posted on 4/24/14 at 1:57 pm to
Theres no doubt Mett helped them become better WRs and opened up the running game. OBJ had 475yards and 2 TDs with JJ/Lee at QB. Thats not really calling him a threat.

And Jarvis made some great catches to help Mett out. But Mett also made some great passes to Jarvis that helped him out as well.

And 2012, sure Mett struggled. But what did he do this season with a legit QB coach in Cameron? He was a completely diff QB.

Sure he struggled vs Ole Miss. But there were games were our running games struggled. And there were games where OBJ was non existent. Actually, the only games OBJ did much was against crappy opponents. Jarvis was mr reliable and always showed up to play. And there were games where Mett kept us in the game.
This post was edited on 4/24/14 at 1:59 pm
Posted by wildtigercat93
Member since Jul 2011
112484 posts
Posted on 4/24/14 at 2:06 pm to
quote:

If by success, you mean superbowl wins... I'll say the defenses and a great FG kicker. If you mean passing records... I'll go with the CashMoneyHomey answer of Randy Moss. If you mean winning year after year... I'd have to ask if personnel decisions, the state of their division, etc play a factor in that at all.



Hes had statistical and team success every season. In every possible way you can quantify success, he has excelled in it. Its hilarious that you want to place the success on the shoulders of all of the ever changing variable while you ignore the constant. Quite the ignorant view id say.

And then you say this

quote:

Very logical. If you think winning is the best indicator for QB success, you must think Marino sucked.


But then that contradicts the talking point you already established here

quote:

If you swapped another Qb in his place.... I don't know... say Matt Cassel.... would the results vary that much?


So who is the one placing importance on wins for QBs?




Btw do you really want to compare Matt Cassels 08 season to Bradys 07 season? Or to Bradys career?

The Pats won 7 fewer games with Cassel instead of Brady. Thats a huge drop off. Bradys 07 season blew Cassels 08 out ofthe water as well as most seasons in the leagues history.

This post was edited on 4/24/14 at 2:08 pm
Posted by Datbayoubengal
Port City
Member since Sep 2009
26767 posts
Posted on 4/24/14 at 2:13 pm to
quote:

Out of the top 3 QBs, Bortles translates the best to the NFL. Is he gonna be great? No. But I think hes a safer pick than Manziel and will be better than Bridgewater. Thats the thing with this QB draft class though. All these "experts" act like Bortles, Bridgewater, and Manziel are the clear cut top 3 QBs. But based on what I have seen these guys do in college and at combine / pro day, I cant confidently say those guys will be better in the NFL than QBs like Mett, McCarron, Carr, Murray, etc. Manziel is the most electrifying, but comes with a lot of questions about how he translates to the NFL. Bortles has the size, arm, tape, attitude, etc to be an NFL QB, but played against bad competition in college so his tape could be a bit misleading. And Bridgewater was the top guy a few months ago, but was bad at his pro day and he doesnt have the potential to be a great NFL QB. Could be a solid QB, like an Andy Dalton, but he wont be an elite NFL QB.


Most of this is wrong. Bortles tape is horrible. The guy is a one read QB with an average arm. Manziel is a poor man's Russell Wilson. Bridgewater is your guy with mobility, adequate height, above average arm, quick release, great accuracy, fundamentally sound, and the best football IQ in the past few years. There is a reason why he is compared to Aaron Rodgers, which I have believed for a while now. You need to re watch game tape and not just highlights to get an opinion. Bortles is another Jake Locker bust and Manziel can't do what he does in the NFL like that.

I like Mett with a dominate OL, good receivers and a couple years in a system. Carr can go anyway, but I think he'll be decent.
Posted by Mahootney
Lovin' My German Footprint
Member since Sep 2008
11880 posts
Posted on 4/24/14 at 2:14 pm to
quote:

He'll need to go to a situation where the offensive line & ground game is a strong suit.
This is the status quo for most Pocket Passers...
or you have to have an elite screen game or an elite Slot receiver.
quote:

If Mett went to a situation like Chicago or Atlanta I'd be fearful of injury.
Maybe so. I've seen teams manage a lack of mobility with a good short passing game. But, I'm not sure his arm's as strong as Cutler or that he could handle the volume passing that Stafford/Brees does in Detroit/NO.
quote:

Minnesota or Cleveland, St. Louis
Along with Kansas City, SD, Houston, & Giants would be decent fits.

Some further reaches would be:
NE - But Mallet's there.
Baltimore & TB - Dat Flacco contract & both running games fell off.
GB - Set on Qbs.
quote:

I agree with you that he is better than the QB's listed above.
He might be, but sometimes the player/situation don't always work out. I'd feel more comfortable putting his potential in the Top 10-25 range.
Could he be a Cutler, Rivers, Eli? Maybe so.

But the bottom 10 tend to not stay starters for very long. I'd rather him go to a better team that's a good fit (like Rodgers to GB) than him go to the teams with a permanent revolving door at QB.
Posted by Mahootney
Lovin' My German Footprint
Member since Sep 2008
11880 posts
Posted on 4/24/14 at 2:18 pm to
Brady Fan boy hunh?
It's ok.

I was merely making a pocket passer comparison initially, but apparently, I chose the wrong NFL QB and rustled Jimmies.

I shouldn't have gotten off topic.
The Brady debate is fun and controversial, but this thread is about Mett and the Draft Analysis process.
Let's try to stay on topic.

This post was edited on 4/24/14 at 2:19 pm
Posted by wildtigercat93
Member since Jul 2011
112484 posts
Posted on 4/24/14 at 2:18 pm to
Dont say ignorant things and i wont call them out
Posted by Mahootney
Lovin' My German Footprint
Member since Sep 2008
11880 posts
Posted on 4/24/14 at 2:20 pm to
Just create your own thread for your Brady worship and you can circle jerk all day.
Posted by KG5989
Das Boot
Member since Oct 2010
16324 posts
Posted on 4/24/14 at 2:29 pm to
quote:

Most of this is wrong.


No its not. Everything you said is youre opinion. Just like everything I posted was my opinion. Just like everything McShay, Kiper, Jaws, etc say is their opinion.

Bortles tape is not horrible. Over 3500yards at a 68% completion % and 25 TDs to 9 INTs. QBR of 163. And can improvise and keep plays alive with his feet and size, ala Big Ben. Average arm? Its better than Bridgewaters.

at the fact that you said Teddy Bridgewater has the highest football IQ to come out in the past few years. Did you forget about someone named Andrew Luck? Russell Wilson?

The only thing Bridgewater and Rodgers have in common is size and release. Thats it. Rodgers has a ridiculous arm, while Bridgewater, at best, has an average NFL arm. Not saying you need a huge arm to be successful in the NFL. But arm strength isnt 1 of Bridgewaters best qualities.

I agree hes accurate, smart, can move around, and has a nice release. But he does not have a very high ceiling. and has limitations. He will most likely be a solid QB. I dont think he will ever be a top 10 QB in league.

So you watched every game tape of Bridgewater, Bortles, and Manziel? No you dont. Ive seen all of them play a few games over the course of their careers.

And again, its dumb to say this is wrong and Im right when it comes to predicting someones future in the NFL. Its all opinion and speculation. IMO, Bortles will be a better NFL QB than Bridgewater. IMO, Bridgewater is comparable to Andy Dalton and be an average NFL QB. In your opinion, Bridgewater is the best QB in the draft. In your opinion, hes comparable to Aaron Rodgers.

I dont see it, but Im not gonna sit here and say that you are wrong and your assessment was dumb. Because nobody knows what these guys will end up like in a few years.
Posted by wildtigercat93
Member since Jul 2011
112484 posts
Posted on 4/24/14 at 2:30 pm to
Create your own thread for your uniformed and dumb opinions and you can eat crayons all day
Posted by DontCare
Baton Rouge
Member since Apr 2012
2516 posts
Posted on 4/24/14 at 2:38 pm to
quote:

Mcshay actually made a good point in that video. OBJ and Juice saved Metts career. I'd also add in the fact that having an explosive running game helped him out greatly.

this is such bullshite. the worst WR or RB in the NFL is at least on par with Jarvis or Odell or Hill. i'm not disparaging our guys, i'm just making the point that even the worst NFL players were exceptional players at the college level (even if their college careers were less than expected, NFL players are all incredibly gifted).
Posted by YouAre8Up
in a house
Member since Mar 2011
12792 posts
Posted on 4/24/14 at 2:49 pm to
All of the QB's have slipped down in the draft predictions.
Posted by Mahootney
Lovin' My German Footprint
Member since Sep 2008
11880 posts
Posted on 4/24/14 at 4:07 pm to
Fine have it your way.
quote:

Hes had team success every season.
Yeah... all due to brady?
You are an Idiot.
quote:

ignore the constant
You mean Belichick?
But hey... just stay ignorant of everything that I actually implied.

1. He hasn't won a Superbowl since 2004 where the focal point of the team was Defense and not him.
2. Randy Moss was the reason he set the passing records in 2007.
3. Winning year after year has more to do with elite personnel decisions and the poor quality of the Bills, Jets, and Dolphins organizations than with Brady.

Please explain the ignorance of all of this?
These specific factors are not credible?
Noone else but Brady can be an explanation?
You are an Idiot.
quote:

But then that contradicts the talking point you already established here
This refers to a rebuttal of a sarcastic comment that had nothing to do with the original topic.
In case you didn't know, a post can cover more than one topic. Try to keep up.

Jim implied that a system does not make a Qb bad...
I implied that being on a losing team doesn't make a Qb bad (which could also be used to make the opposite point that being on a winning team doesn't make a QB good).
All three points are valid and correct.
But sadly, your retort wasn't valid, and it wasn't correct.
You are an Idiot.
quote:

Btw do you really want to compare Matt Cassels 08 season to Bradys 07 season? Or to Bradys career?
Sure.
Let's look at Ole Cassel's 2008 year. Since you wanna Cherry pick one of the greatest statistical seasons ever.... I'll improve on that option with an intellectually superior one.

Doing a direct comparison of a year from Brady's career with a similar system and attempts.... let's use Brady's 2006 year, which also had 516 attempts.
Let's also add in the average of all the years with non-600+ attempts, which would be 2002-2010. (the offense clearly changed after 2010 and wouldn't be a direct comparison),
Hell. Let's even use your suggestion of Brady's Career Numbers.

Attempts, Comp, Yds, TD, Int, Rating, Compl %, Y/Att, Rush Yds.

Cassel
516, 327, 3693, 21, 11, 89.4, 63.4, 7.16, 270

Brady 1:
516, 319, 3529, 24, 12, 87.9, 61.8, 6.8, 102

Brady 2:
535, 341, 3977, 30, 11, 96.1, 63.6, 7.45, 70

Brady 3:
560, 355, 4202, 31, 11, 96.4, 63.4, 7.52, 66

There. all out in the open.
Pretty damn close to 2006, wouldn't you say?
Better rating, better completion percentage, better yards per attempt. All-in-all, pretty identical years.

For the pre-2010 average, completion percentage is the same, but Brady is about 300 yds and 9 Tds better. If you consider Cassel didn't play a full 16 games. This one is pretty damn even too.

And Brady's Career numbers are skewed by the recent advent of touch football by the NFL.

All in all, the numbers indicated that Brady is a better Qb than Cassel... shocker!
But the difference is marginal when using Cassel's 2008 season as a comparison.
quote:

The Pats won 7 fewer games with Cassel instead of Brady. Thats a huge drop off. Bradys 07 season blew Cassels 08 out ofthe water as well as most seasons in the leagues history.

They won one fewer in 2009 when Brady came back. Kinda makes you look like a fool when that little tidbit is presented.... doesn't it?

Hell, they've won between 10-12 games in 6 of the 9 years since they won their last Supebowl.
What kinda gotcha point did you think you were making?

Now, I've proven that I'm completely knowledgeable about Brady, Cassel, and the Patriots.
Yet, You are still an Idiot.


When you attempt to expose someone as being ignorant and then they shite all over you.....
You lose your credibility.
This post was edited on 4/24/14 at 9:27 pm
Posted by Cancersurvivor
Florida parishes
Member since Apr 2014
71 posts
Posted on 4/24/14 at 7:41 pm to
In my opinion just my opinion Mett will be a good NFL QB
But depends on where he goes.

I hope he does great!
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