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re: Official 2014 Stanley Cup Playoffs Thread (LA KINGS WIN THE CUP 3-2 F/2OT)

Posted on 4/14/14 at 8:23 am to
Posted by LosLobos111
Austere
Member since Feb 2011
45385 posts
Posted on 4/14/14 at 8:23 am to
Posted by Baloo
Formerly MDGeaux
Member since Sep 2003
49645 posts
Posted on 4/14/14 at 9:02 am to
Some good first round matchups. I'm going to pick each series, as an experiment, solely on their FenClose. I'm curious how accurate of a predictive tool it is.

Bruins (54.43) over Detroit (51.09)
Tampa (51.47) over Montreal (48.25)
Pitt (50.66) over C-bus (50.56)
Rags (52.92) over Flyers (47.71)

Looking at the numbers, the Penguins-Jackets should be our best bet for a 1st round upset in the East. The fancystats pick everything to go to form in the East.

Dallas (51.92) over Anaheim (49.91)
LA (56.41) over SJ (55.03)
Minnesota (49.49) over Colorado (46.71)
Chicago (55.20) over StL (52.94)

Four of the top five teams in the NHL in FenClose will play each other in the first round. In order to make up for this, the fancystats pick the two teams who have far exceeded their underlying possession metrics to lose in the first round.
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