re: Trading out of the first round

quote:

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I just find it strange that they're so good with late round picks and UFAs yet miss the mark so often in the early rounds. Very strange.

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Speaking strictly draft, trust me that's a bit off a myth. The 2006(and now 2013) drafts help propel it.

LINK

Guys that have played significant roles for at least 2 years with us with 2013 added in anyway(quality can be questioned):

1-3
Bush(1st)
Harper(2nd)
Meachem(1st)
Ellis(1st)
Porter(2nd)
Jenkins(1st)
Robinson(1st)
Graham(3rd)
Jordan(1st)
Ingram(1st)
Hicks(3rd)
Vaccaro(1st)
Armstead(3rd)
Jenkins(3rd)

4-7
Evans(4th)
Strief(7th)
Colston(7th)
Bushrod(4th)
Nicks(5th w/1st round talent)
Morstead(5th and punters always go late)
White(5th)
Stills(5th)

That's 14-8. Adding the 3rd rounders to the later rounds makes it 10-12. Keeping in mind that Morstead is a punter and Nicks was a 1st round talent, that's basically a wash if you split 1-2 and 3-7. If you keep it 1-3 and 4-7 it's a clear advantage for the top half.

Now add in the fact that we only used 3 out of 8 2nd rounders(down 5 2nd rounders) to actually pick someone at that spot and that's pretty good for the top 3 rounds considering.

So yes we do hit later, but not as much as earlier especially given the number of picks in 1-3 vs. 4-7, and damn sure not as much as people think we do.

Now if you want to talk UDFAs, hell yeah we do great with those.