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re: BOIL has become predictable

Posted on 4/29/14 at 11:18 pm to
Posted by Crbello4Hiceman
Lurking
Member since May 2011
502 posts
Posted on 4/29/14 at 11:18 pm to
so, no? Not sure I followed alot of the response. As I understand, KOLD is double bear natural gas so if natural gas prices are supposed to go down this summer, it stands to reason KOLD will see 2x that effect, right?
Posted by Iowa Golfer
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
10246 posts
Posted on 4/30/14 at 6:27 am to
Generally KOLD should go down. KOLD wouldn't be my choice. It's a ETN. It is leveraged. It is really designed for short term plays. Mostly to be in and out of in one day.

Having said this, some guys on here seem to have done ok playing the etfs and etns that are designed for day trading by holding longer as the natural gas market has been unusual as of late. Most of these products suffer from contango, but given futures prices are higher in later months, recently the backwardation has helped them. They need to constantly roll their contracts prior to contract settlement.

If you look at the futures chain as of last night, contango is clearly back in play.
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