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re: US Soccer's lack of stars
Posted on 8/15/13 at 1:48 pm to RandySavage
Posted on 8/15/13 at 1:48 pm to RandySavage
Population:
England 50m
France 65m
Germany 82m
Brazil 200m
Argentina 41m
USA 314m
Throw out Brazil from the above and the non-US average is 60m
90% of 60m is 54m
5% of 314m is 16m
So, generously assuming that only 90% of sports-minded kids in those other countries focus mostly on soccer and that even 5% of sports-minded kids in the USA have historically focused on soccer, each of those countries in an average generation has almost 3.5 times as many focused soccer players coming up.
Athleticism is relatively less important, soccer brains at any position are relatively more important than <insert other sport> brains are in any other sport, and it's much harder to develop elite skill with your feet than it is with your hands. All of that adds up to the key ingredient in producing successful soccer players being OBSESSION with soccer.
A small amount of pressure on a huge lump of coal isn't going to produce any diamonds.
The upshot of all of this is that it really only is a matter of time, focus, and a big money league before we do to soccer what we've done to the Olympics. That's why I so greatly enjoy being the underdog now. One day we'll be as spoiled as LSU football fans are (speaking for myself there).
Amazing thing is that Brazil isn't even more dominant than they are, but that's part of the beauty of soccer.
England 50m
France 65m
Germany 82m
Brazil 200m
Argentina 41m
USA 314m
Throw out Brazil from the above and the non-US average is 60m
90% of 60m is 54m
5% of 314m is 16m
So, generously assuming that only 90% of sports-minded kids in those other countries focus mostly on soccer and that even 5% of sports-minded kids in the USA have historically focused on soccer, each of those countries in an average generation has almost 3.5 times as many focused soccer players coming up.
Athleticism is relatively less important, soccer brains at any position are relatively more important than <insert other sport> brains are in any other sport, and it's much harder to develop elite skill with your feet than it is with your hands. All of that adds up to the key ingredient in producing successful soccer players being OBSESSION with soccer.
A small amount of pressure on a huge lump of coal isn't going to produce any diamonds.
The upshot of all of this is that it really only is a matter of time, focus, and a big money league before we do to soccer what we've done to the Olympics. That's why I so greatly enjoy being the underdog now. One day we'll be as spoiled as LSU football fans are (speaking for myself there).
Amazing thing is that Brazil isn't even more dominant than they are, but that's part of the beauty of soccer.
This post was edited on 8/15/13 at 1:50 pm
Posted on 8/15/13 at 1:55 pm to uway
quote:
Amazing thing is that Brazil isn't even more dominant than they are, but that's part of the beauty of soccer.
Their problem is you can only put 11 on the field. Brazil's depth is (generally speaking) incredible. Their third team would probably romp anyone else's in the world by 4-5 goals.
Posted on 8/15/13 at 8:10 pm to uway
quote:
only 90% of sports-minded kids in those other countries focus mostly on soccer
This figure is WAY out of whack. At least for France, and probably England and Germany, as well.
I´d venture to say it´s off for Argentina as well, and as for Brazil, I´ve really got no clue, but would think it´s probably a tad bit optimistic.
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