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re: Why do the talking heads keep mentioning the 150% run up in the last 4 years
Posted on 8/9/13 at 1:35 pm to Doc Fenton
Posted on 8/9/13 at 1:35 pm to Doc Fenton
quote:
I guess it's an old dead horse debate for another thread, but seriously, Greenspan's policies have very, very little to do with our current problems.
I didn't want to make the argument too strongly and, again, like I said - a long time ago.
But the effects of those policies are: people are used to low interest rates and somewhat inflated housing prices. Those are facts that have arisen because of Greenspan. There will come a day when interest rates (and even inflation - we're starting to see that in some sectors, energy, for example) will rise again - and if that is not managed properly, it can bring down the whole house of cards.
Posted on 8/9/13 at 1:39 pm to Ace Midnight
quote:
Those are facts that have arisen because of Greenspan.
I don't think you can plausibly blame Greenspan for lengthy 30-year secular interest rate cycles. He didn't cause the run-up in rates from 1950 to 1980, and he didn't cause the run-down in rates from 1980 to now... nor did he cause the immense global deflationary pressures caused by the globalization following the USSR's collapse, with NAFTA, GATT, the WTO & China, the EU/EMU/EFTA, etc.
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