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re: Why do the talking heads keep mentioning the 150% run up in the last 4 years

Posted on 8/9/13 at 1:35 pm to
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
89775 posts
Posted on 8/9/13 at 1:35 pm to
quote:

I guess it's an old dead horse debate for another thread, but seriously, Greenspan's policies have very, very little to do with our current problems.


I didn't want to make the argument too strongly and, again, like I said - a long time ago.

But the effects of those policies are: people are used to low interest rates and somewhat inflated housing prices. Those are facts that have arisen because of Greenspan. There will come a day when interest rates (and even inflation - we're starting to see that in some sectors, energy, for example) will rise again - and if that is not managed properly, it can bring down the whole house of cards.
Posted by Doc Fenton
New York, NY
Member since Feb 2007
52698 posts
Posted on 8/9/13 at 1:39 pm to
quote:

Those are facts that have arisen because of Greenspan.


I don't think you can plausibly blame Greenspan for lengthy 30-year secular interest rate cycles. He didn't cause the run-up in rates from 1950 to 1980, and he didn't cause the run-down in rates from 1980 to now... nor did he cause the immense global deflationary pressures caused by the globalization following the USSR's collapse, with NAFTA, GATT, the WTO & China, the EU/EMU/EFTA, etc.
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