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re: I'm seeing a bargain with this stock, what am I missing?

Posted on 4/5/13 at 2:20 pm to
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
127271 posts
Posted on 4/5/13 at 2:20 pm to
quote:

I don't know, as Russian said, if you think it is going to be at $9 in 15 days, why not buy the shares outright. Seems like a lot of work for minimal gains.

Options are a way of making a very healthy % return using very little money.

If an investor buys 10 contracts for $40.00 ($.04 X 1,000 shares) and IF the price of AA went to, say, $9.15 before the expiration date, the option that the investor paid $40.00 for could probably be sold for something like $0.85/contract or $850 ($.85 X 1,000 shares) for a profit of $810 ($850 minus the $40 he paid for the option). This ignores the small amount of possible brokerage fees the investor would pay.

So for an investment of $40 the option buyer makes a return of over 2,000% in 15 days.

Of course, the chance that the price of AA going to $9.15 is very low and if it doesn't the investor loses 100% of his $40 investment.

ETA: serious brain fart on my part. The options would not increase to .85 but to probably only around .13 if the price went to $9.15 just prior to expiration. Still it would be a very nice % return on a small investment.
This post was edited on 4/6/13 at 8:04 am
Posted by Vols&Shaft83
Throbbing Member
Member since Dec 2012
69956 posts
Posted on 4/5/13 at 3:58 pm to
quote:

So for an investment of $40 the option buyer makes a return of over 2,000% in 15 days.


Was gonna put a flashing WARNING sign up for Brink until I read

quote:

Of course, the chance that the price of AA going to $9.15 is very low and if it doesn't the investor loses 100% of his $40 investment.


Most people don't understand the risks, or don't think losing $40 is a big deal, so they get death by 1,000 cuts. And because it's addicting, guy takes a $40 hit, tries to double up on his next trade, and so on, and so on.

Trading with a plan is fine, but a lot of guys don't, and ruin their lives.
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