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re: In the last 5 years combined LSU only has 83 more first downs than opponents

Posted on 1/9/13 at 11:07 pm to
Posted by EarthwormJim
Member since Dec 2005
10063 posts
Posted on 1/9/13 at 11:07 pm to
quote:

The original 12 SEC teams going back 5 seasons. The correlation is obvious. Statistically, having a +~80 first down differential leads to a 60% winning rate which is simply average in the SEC.


LSU has around +80 differential and 77% win percentage over that time, so obviously that differential is enough to sustain a successful program.

Also there's only 2 teams around +80, hardly enough to make any statistical analysis.

So again you answered you own original question by showing LSU has sustained success with that +~80 differential.
Posted by theunknownknight
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
57434 posts
Posted on 1/9/13 at 11:13 pm to
quote:

LSU has around +80 differential and 77% win percentage over that time, so obviously that differential is enough to sustain a successful program.

Also there's only 2 teams around +80, hardly enough to make any statistical analysis.

So again you answered you own original question by showing LSU has sustained success with that +~80 differential.



In other words...you can't read. The top schools in the SEC have at least TWICE many first downs as us. Then there is a huge drop off before tier two, the Ole Miss tier, that's where we are. So, per statistical significance, which team doesn't belong in tier two. I'll let you guess.
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