- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
re: OFFICIAL Week 14 CFB bet thread™
Posted on 11/27/12 at 10:26 am to Billy Mays
Posted on 11/27/12 at 10:26 am to Billy Mays
My early leans:
NIU-6 vs. Kent: Probably my favorite play of the week. It breaks my heart to bet against Kent because they've been mighty mighty good to me all season, but I do think NIU is the better team. Just way more explosive on offense.
UCLA+8.5 @ Stanford: I can't imagine that this is anything other than a very close game, and I wouldn't be surprised if UCLA won outright. I don't think UCLA outright threw the previous game, but I also don't think they played it with a great deal of emotion. This will be different.
Okie State-4 @ Baylor: Baylor will regress back to the mean, and will get beat by a sizable margin.
WVU-19.5 vs. Kansas: I can't imagine that Kansas is going to be real real excited about going into the Appalachian Mountains to play a meaningless game in freezing cold weather while drunken hillbillies hurl expletives and liquor bottles at them. Just a hunch on my part.
MTSU+9.5 @ Arky State: This just seems like too many points for an MTSU team that, as I see it, is on the same level as Arky State.
Cincy-5 @ UConn: UConn sucks at football. They aren't closing out the season with wins against the two best teams in their league. Last week was an outlier. They'll get worked by Munchi and the gang.
ULL-9.5 @ FAU: FAU is pretty atrocious, but I'm not sure I'm gonna throw down on this. Will decide as the week goes along. Every time I've messed with ULL this year, it has backfired, so I may lay off.
Boise-8.5 @ Nevada: I like this game. Nevada isn't that good this year at all. I mean, this isn't your older brother's Boise State, by any stretch of the imagination, but they're an appreciably better team than Nevada, who just recently eeked out a 7 point win against the Fightign Bob Davies of New Mexico.
New Mexico State+13.5 @ Texas State; I'm honestly not sure if I'm going to be able to bring myself to bet on a team as atrocious as NMST. But this is too many points. Texas State lost last Saturday to UTSA, who is complete dogtrash. They shouldn't be favored by this many points over any team comprised of players 14 years or older.
Kansas State-11.5 vs. Texas: I watched Texas play TCU last week. Texas is a train wreck. And K-State will be fresh off a bye week. I see Kansas State rolling the longhorns in this game. Shouldn't be close.
NIU-6 vs. Kent: Probably my favorite play of the week. It breaks my heart to bet against Kent because they've been mighty mighty good to me all season, but I do think NIU is the better team. Just way more explosive on offense.
UCLA+8.5 @ Stanford: I can't imagine that this is anything other than a very close game, and I wouldn't be surprised if UCLA won outright. I don't think UCLA outright threw the previous game, but I also don't think they played it with a great deal of emotion. This will be different.
Okie State-4 @ Baylor: Baylor will regress back to the mean, and will get beat by a sizable margin.
WVU-19.5 vs. Kansas: I can't imagine that Kansas is going to be real real excited about going into the Appalachian Mountains to play a meaningless game in freezing cold weather while drunken hillbillies hurl expletives and liquor bottles at them. Just a hunch on my part.
MTSU+9.5 @ Arky State: This just seems like too many points for an MTSU team that, as I see it, is on the same level as Arky State.
Cincy-5 @ UConn: UConn sucks at football. They aren't closing out the season with wins against the two best teams in their league. Last week was an outlier. They'll get worked by Munchi and the gang.
ULL-9.5 @ FAU: FAU is pretty atrocious, but I'm not sure I'm gonna throw down on this. Will decide as the week goes along. Every time I've messed with ULL this year, it has backfired, so I may lay off.
Boise-8.5 @ Nevada: I like this game. Nevada isn't that good this year at all. I mean, this isn't your older brother's Boise State, by any stretch of the imagination, but they're an appreciably better team than Nevada, who just recently eeked out a 7 point win against the Fightign Bob Davies of New Mexico.
New Mexico State+13.5 @ Texas State; I'm honestly not sure if I'm going to be able to bring myself to bet on a team as atrocious as NMST. But this is too many points. Texas State lost last Saturday to UTSA, who is complete dogtrash. They shouldn't be favored by this many points over any team comprised of players 14 years or older.
Kansas State-11.5 vs. Texas: I watched Texas play TCU last week. Texas is a train wreck. And K-State will be fresh off a bye week. I see Kansas State rolling the longhorns in this game. Shouldn't be close.
Posted on 11/27/12 at 11:54 am to bobbyray21
Strong Leans as of now
NIU -6
Ok St is I can get 4 I am betting it
Cincy -5
South Florida +6 (91% of early bets on PITT and line has moved from 5.5 to 6)
Meh oh WVU -19.5. 92% of early bets are on WVU and the line has moved down.
NIU -6
Ok St is I can get 4 I am betting it
Cincy -5
South Florida +6 (91% of early bets on PITT and line has moved from 5.5 to 6)
Meh oh WVU -19.5. 92% of early bets are on WVU and the line has moved down.
Posted on 11/27/12 at 1:09 pm to TigerTatorTots
quote:
Strong Leans as of now
NIU -6
Ok St is I can get 4 I am betting it
Cincy -5
South Florida +6 (91% of early bets on PITT and line has moved from 5.5 to 6)
Meh oh WVU -19.5. 92% of early bets are on WVU and the line has moved down.
Every game this year that I've had where there has been appreciable RLM, I've won. There's been five or six. I love RLM.
Posted on 11/27/12 at 10:14 pm to TigerTatorTots
Added:
1* NIU -6
1* OK st -4
1* NIU -6
1* OK st -4
Posted on 11/28/12 at 12:48 pm to TigerTatorTots
3rd page bump.
OU/Baylor OVER 86.5 is the highest total ever.
OU/Baylor OVER 86.5 is the highest total ever.
Posted on 11/28/12 at 12:49 pm to bamafan425
quote:
3rd page bump.
OU/Baylor OVER 86.5 is the highest total ever.
Ever ever?
Posted on 11/28/12 at 12:55 pm to bobbyray21
What people are saying on twitter.
DonBest.com ?@DonBestSports
O/U total of 86.5 on this week's college football game between Baylor & Oklahoma State is largest ever according to oddsmaker Kenny White
DonBest.com ?@DonBestSports
O/U total of 86.5 on this week's college football game between Baylor & Oklahoma State is largest ever according to oddsmaker Kenny White
This post was edited on 11/28/12 at 12:57 pm
Posted on 11/28/12 at 1:04 pm to bamafan425
2* unit teaser: Bama -0.5/UNDER 57
Might even add more. I'm confident Bama wins, and I'm confident this total doesn't approach 57.
Might even add more. I'm confident Bama wins, and I'm confident this total doesn't approach 57.
This post was edited on 11/28/12 at 1:06 pm
Posted on 11/28/12 at 1:19 pm to bamafan425
Is it possible NOT to take the under in that monstrosity?
Posted on 11/28/12 at 1:24 pm to Chef Leppard
Unless UGA gets up 20+ ala TAMU early, then I don't see this total approaching 57 (or 50.5 really) at all. I think if UGA gets up early, we come back and make a game of it. If Bama gets up early, we play ball control and keep the total low.
Honestly, in that teaser, I feel like I'm basically playing Bama -0.5.
I'll probably get burned, but that is one of the strongest plays I've had all year.
Honestly, in that teaser, I feel like I'm basically playing Bama -0.5.
I'll probably get burned, but that is one of the strongest plays I've had all year.
Posted on 11/28/12 at 1:30 pm to bamafan425
Was referring to the Ok St game sorry
I don't know if two teams exist that I wouldn't pound U86
I don't know if two teams exist that I wouldn't pound U86
Posted on 11/28/12 at 1:50 pm to Chef Leppard
No problems. I would lean under.
I might include them in a 13-point teaser just so I can have an UNDER 99.5 in a teaser.
I might include them in a 13-point teaser just so I can have an UNDER 99.5 in a teaser.
Posted on 11/28/12 at 2:04 pm to bamafan425
That OU game could very easily be 56-53
Posted on 11/28/12 at 2:05 pm to HoLeInOnEr05
Oh, I'd probably do it for a dollar, but that'd be awesome. If it gets to 87, I'm definitely doing a 13 point teaser on it. UNDER 100 doesn't come often.
Posted on 11/28/12 at 2:10 pm to HoLeInOnEr05
I just looked and remembered that Baylor/WVU score was 70-63
frick that
frick that
Posted on 11/28/12 at 4:49 pm to Chef Leppard
NIU -6 (-120) added. Dont wanna risk this getting above 7.
Posted on 11/28/12 at 5:11 pm to bamafan425
quote:
NIU -6 (-120) added. Dont wanna risk this getting above 7.
I took it on the ML.
Posted on 11/28/12 at 5:13 pm to bamafan425
quote:
Unless UGA gets up 20+ ala TAMU early, then I don't see this total approaching 57 (or 50.5 really) at all. I think if UGA gets up early, we come back and make a game of it. If Bama gets up early, we play ball control and keep the total low.
Honestly, in that teaser, I feel like I'm basically playing Bama -0.5.
I'll probably get burned, but that is one of the strongest plays I've had all year.
I agree. UGA can win, but only if they get up early. TAMU established that blueprint, but implementation is difficult, especially without Johnny Manziel. UGA has really good RBs, though. They can score.
Do you usually make plays on your team? I never ever ever bet on Tennessee.
Posted on 11/28/12 at 5:15 pm to bobbyray21
I normally don't.
I have included Bama in a few teasers or ML parlays.
I took Bama -13 against Michigan early in the season.
Wanted to play the UNDER in the LSU game, but didn't. I knew that line was off by about 4 points.
But like I said, on this one I feel like I'm basically playing Bama ML for only -120 since I feel like UNDER 57 is a lock unless UGA wins (and then I'd lose anyways).
I have included Bama in a few teasers or ML parlays.
I took Bama -13 against Michigan early in the season.
Wanted to play the UNDER in the LSU game, but didn't. I knew that line was off by about 4 points.
But like I said, on this one I feel like I'm basically playing Bama ML for only -120 since I feel like UNDER 57 is a lock unless UGA wins (and then I'd lose anyways).
This post was edited on 11/28/12 at 5:16 pm
Popular
Back to top
Follow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News