re: Crackpot ASOIAF Theories SPOILERS

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Varys is literally living in the walls of Red Keep and if he shows his face he is dead.

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You forget that Varys is an absolute master at changing his face. Only the Faceless Men can conceal themselves as effectively.

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The Tyrells already own the throne. Cercei was humbled with the walk of shame and pretty much put out to pasture with regards to her power.

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90% of the guards there are Lannister men. They own the throne just about as the Starks did in the first novel. Cersei will be reignited when she finds out that Pycelle and Ser Kevan are killed. She will be convinced that they and Tyrion are in league together. Cersei will rip the kingdom even more apart as Varys intends. I think the irony is that as soon as Cersei kicks House Tyrell out of King's Landing or they flee, Cersei will be getting a nice letter from Tyrion telling her of his plan to sack the Seven Kingdoms with Daenerys army and dragons.

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No reason for Tyrells to want anything to change. Their best bet is ruling through Tommen.

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Cersei has basically killed the pride of House Tyrell herself. They want blood for what happened to Loras Tyrell and the fact that Cersei didn't send forces to protect their own shores from the Greyjoy fleet. If they see that the person's grandson who they originally supported for the Iron Throne has returned, House Tyrell will join them if they agree to marry off Maergery. Tommen is not the best bet in ruling long term since their enemies are now regrouping and will be able to face down the Lannisters. Especially when Littlefinger has much of the North, the Vale, and the Riverlands under his control, they will abandon the Lannisters in a heartbeat.