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re: Trends in NBA draft lottery
Posted on 4/10/12 at 8:03 pm to quail man
Posted on 4/10/12 at 8:03 pm to quail man
I wasn't calling you out for personal reasons, but he asked where I got something from, so I provided an example of what I thought it was within this thread. Nothing personal.
Secondly, I understand not wanting to lose on purpose. These guys are professionals and want to win.
Is it a considerable difference? No, but it is a 32 ball difference in your scenario which is a higher probability, why wouldn't you want the highest possible chances strictly from a numbers standpoint?
Every single draft before this has absolutely nothing to do with the odds of this upcoming draft. It's like roulette. Each spin is independent of itself and it has no memory of the past nor can it see future spins. "x" amount of lotto balls out of "y" total is what it is regardless of whether the worst record has won it 0% of the time or 100% of the time. It doesn't matter.
Secondly, I understand not wanting to lose on purpose. These guys are professionals and want to win.
quote:
We will probably have 167 or 173 combos going into the lottery. Washington will probably have 199 combos which isn't that different.
Is it a considerable difference? No, but it is a 32 ball difference in your scenario which is a higher probability, why wouldn't you want the highest possible chances strictly from a numbers standpoint?
Every single draft before this has absolutely nothing to do with the odds of this upcoming draft. It's like roulette. Each spin is independent of itself and it has no memory of the past nor can it see future spins. "x" amount of lotto balls out of "y" total is what it is regardless of whether the worst record has won it 0% of the time or 100% of the time. It doesn't matter.
Posted on 4/10/12 at 8:07 pm to dcrews
quote:This is what I have been preaching all season
Every single draft before this has absolutely nothing to do with the odds of this upcoming draft. It's like roulette. Each spin is independent of itself and it has no memory of the past nor can it see future spins. "x" amount of lotto balls out of "y" total is what it is regardless of whether the worst record has won it 0% of the time or 100% of the time. It doesn't matter.
Posted on 4/10/12 at 9:08 pm to dcrews
quote:
Is it a considerable difference? No, but it is a 32 ball difference in your scenario which is a higher probability, why wouldn't you want the highest possible chances strictly from a numbers standpoint?
I don't know if I am want to cheer for a tank for a 3-4% better chance that Washington has over us.
We shouldn't fall out of 3rd.
It has been completely obvious Charlotte and Washington are in full tank mode. They don't even seem to care. At least the Hornets have seemed competitive and that is with the unlucky injuries.
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