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re: Stars and rankings don't mean anything.
Posted on 2/1/12 at 2:08 pm to The312
Posted on 2/1/12 at 2:08 pm to The312
quote:
Actually, empirical evidence shows that five stars have approximately a 1/15-1/20 chance of becoming All-Americans, while 3 stars have approximately a 1/150 - 1/200 chance of becoming All-Americans at the D-1A level. Similarly, a much greater percentage of five stars are drafted. Definitely exceptions to the rule, but you want to live and die with the rule.
This. Five stars don't guarantee success but they they certainly increase the chances of it.
Posted on 2/1/12 at 2:10 pm to BayouBengalinBama
quote:
Hmmm - Serious question, Does this take into account there are X 5*, XX 4* and XXX 3* (Obviously there are way more 3* than 5*)
Yeah, it does. That's essentially the point. The very small pool of five stars produces as many or more All-Americans than the vast pool of three stars. Hence, if you could only pick twenty five players each year, you'd be better off on a statistical basis choosing exclusively five stars. I'll put it to you this way. Imagine you had to choose a scrap of paper from one of two boxes. Each scrap of paper has a monetary amount printed on it. The amount is either one million dollars or one dollar. Would you choose from the box with one hundred and fifty total scraps, ten of which had the million dollar figure, or from a box containing FOUR THOUSAND scraps, twenty of which had the one million dollar figure? Obviously your chances are much better with the smaller box. And if I gave you twenty five picks, you'd be best off devoting them all to the smaller box. Similarly, it's best to stack your class with five stars.
This post was edited on 2/1/12 at 2:12 pm
Posted on 2/1/12 at 2:12 pm to LSUisBetterthanU
Screw star ratings, we couldn't even sign our full allotment of 25 players. WTF? This ain't some pledge class for a frat. What the crap is happening to this program in the last month?
Posted on 2/1/12 at 2:14 pm to TexasTiger89
quote:1 out of 100.
Jacob Hester 2 star
:geauxtigers
Posted on 2/1/12 at 2:16 pm to The312
it also depends on the position. a 5 star dual threat qb (cam or tebow type) is better than any 5 star safety. it depends on how close they play to ball (dt or rb more valuable than wr or cb)
you REALLY want 5 star guys that can impact almost every play. thus, freak johnson WAY, WAY more valuable than lc.
you REALLY want 5 star guys that can impact almost every play. thus, freak johnson WAY, WAY more valuable than lc.
Posted on 2/1/12 at 2:24 pm to Tiger_n_ATL
this class reminds me of the 2010 class, and that class was supposed to be an ok class.
Main Players from 2010
1. TM7
2. Eric Reid
3. Ware
4. Brad Wing
5. Tharold Simon
6. JC Copeland
7. Alfred Blue
8. Ken Adams JUCO
9. Ronnie Vinson
9. Kadron Boone
Main Players from 2010
1. TM7
2. Eric Reid
3. Ware
4. Brad Wing
5. Tharold Simon
6. JC Copeland
7. Alfred Blue
8. Ken Adams JUCO
9. Ronnie Vinson
9. Kadron Boone
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