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re: Vegas should have Bama fans very worried...
Posted on 12/17/11 at 1:06 pm to LSUzealot
Posted on 12/17/11 at 1:06 pm to LSUzealot
quote:
Line started at LSU -1...all the big money has been coming in on LSU and now the line is Bama -1. reverse line movement almost always favors the team with the money. Vegas knows more than anyone, they got millions riding on this.
I'm pretty sure "Vegas" does not care. "Vegas" only wants equal money on each side. The line moves accordingly to achieve that and "Vegas" makes their money off the juice. Max total profit = 0.1 X 0.5 X total dollars bet. A huge bet on on side or many little bets on one side can move the line in the opposite direction to attract more money to the other side to even things out.
1
Posted on 12/17/11 at 8:20 pm to GumboPot
I really hope some of you don't bet with real money.
Reverse line movement happens when the total number of bets favors one side but the line moves the opposite way. So let's say 70% of the population is betting on LSU -1. If the line, however, moves towards Alabama, then that means the professionals who are putting down big money are betting on Alabama.
The reason people worry about this trend is because it means almost all the idiots sitting on their couches yapping about JJ are taking LSU but almost every expert is taking Alabama in a big way to move the line away from LSU.
People put way too much into line movements though.
Reverse line movement happens when the total number of bets favors one side but the line moves the opposite way. So let's say 70% of the population is betting on LSU -1. If the line, however, moves towards Alabama, then that means the professionals who are putting down big money are betting on Alabama.
The reason people worry about this trend is because it means almost all the idiots sitting on their couches yapping about JJ are taking LSU but almost every expert is taking Alabama in a big way to move the line away from LSU.
People put way too much into line movements though.
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