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re: Did I hear right? Bama a 2 1/2 pt favorite?
Posted on 12/5/11 at 9:50 am to LSU Tigerhead
Posted on 12/5/11 at 9:50 am to LSU Tigerhead
quote:all early lines I have seen have been the exact opposite. LSU -2.5
Colin Cowherd just said Bama was 2 1/2 pt favorite.
Posted on 12/5/11 at 9:53 am to bee Rye
LSU is favored by 2 1/2. But idiots will respond to the OP as if it is correct. ![](https://images.tigerdroppings.com/Images/Icons/IconLOL.gif)
![](https://images.tigerdroppings.com/Images/Icons/IconLOL.gif)
Posted on 12/5/11 at 9:54 am to bee Rye
A betting line is designed to induce betting. Its not Vegas' literal idea of how the game will be played out.
Its Vegas' idea of what will make you bet your money on one team or the other.
According to Feldman on Twitter this morning, 75% of the early money is coming in worldwide on LSU at this point. But unless you see a huge early move in the line this early money is from non-wise guys.
The "Sharps" as Colin calls them always move late after all the public's money has moved the line one way or the other. They never beat early because injuries happen & they already have a great idea about what they think of the game & the line, so an early line means nothing to them.
The early lines are nothing more than a way to get you emotional enough to put your money where your mouth is for Vegas. That's it.
People who have not grasped this fact about betting are typically people who do not bet on sports.
Its Vegas' idea of what will make you bet your money on one team or the other.
According to Feldman on Twitter this morning, 75% of the early money is coming in worldwide on LSU at this point. But unless you see a huge early move in the line this early money is from non-wise guys.
The "Sharps" as Colin calls them always move late after all the public's money has moved the line one way or the other. They never beat early because injuries happen & they already have a great idea about what they think of the game & the line, so an early line means nothing to them.
The early lines are nothing more than a way to get you emotional enough to put your money where your mouth is for Vegas. That's it.
People who have not grasped this fact about betting are typically people who do not bet on sports.
This post was edited on 12/5/11 at 9:56 am
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