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My Prediction For Realignment

Posted on 9/19/11 at 5:40 pm
Posted by GABlueDog
Marietta, GA
Member since Dec 2008
8045 posts
Posted on 9/19/11 at 5:40 pm
IMO the biggest winner from realignment is clearly the Pac 16. No other conference can match their audience share, alumni base, operating revenue, money, endowment, reach, or influence. The ACC is the next best winner primarily due to their basketball, already the best in the country, getting even better and the fulfillment of their long sought goal of staging the country's best basketball tournament on the biggest stage: Madison Square Garden. The SEC and Big Ten more or less stay the same but in the grand scheme fail to match the gains of the Pac 16. A new conference is cobbled together with the remnants of the Big East and the Big 12. The other conferences largely remain the same; this shuffle occurs among the top teams in football and barely effects the lower tier.

New member schools are italicized.

SUPER CONFERENCES

SEC - 14 teams

West Division
LSU
Alabama
Auburn
Arkansas
Mississippi State
Ole Miss
Texas A&M

East Division
Florida
Georgia
Tennessee
South Carolina
Kentucky
Vanderbilt
West Virginia

Football Championship Game: Georgia Dome in Atlanta, GA
Basketball Tournament: Philips Arena in Atlanta, GA

Pacific 16 - 16 teams

West Coast Division
USC
UCLA
California
Oregon
Stanford
Washington
Oregon State
Washington State

Frontier Division
Texas
Oklahoma
Oklahoma State
Texas Tech
Arizona
Arizona State
Colorado
Utah

Football Championship Game: Phoenix Stadium in Glendale, AZ
Basketball Tournament: Staples Center in Los Angeles, CA

ACC - 16 teams

Atlantic Division
Florida State
Maryland
North Carolina
Boston College
Wake Forest
Pittsburgh
Syracuse
Connecticut

Coast Division
Virginia Tech
Georgia Tech
Miami
Clemson
Virginia
North Carolina
Duke
South Florida

Football Championship Game: Dolphins Stadium in Miami, FL
Basketball Tournament: Madison Square Garden in New York City, NY alternated biannually with Time Warner Arena in Charlotte, NC

Big Ten - 14 teams

Leaders Division
Ohio State
Penn State
Illinois
Indiana
Purdue
Northwestern
Rutgers

Legends Division
Michigan
Michigan State
Wisconsin
Nebraska
Iowa
Minnesota
Missouri

Football Championship Game: Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, IN
Basketball Tournament: Conseco Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, IN

SECOND CLASS CONFERENCES

Big American - 10 teams

Brigham Young
Texas Christian
Baylor
Kansas
Kansas State
Iowa State
Louisville
Cincinnati
Colorado State
Air Force


Mountain West - 8 teams

Boise State
New Mexico
Nevada
San Diego State
Nevada-Las Vegas
Fresno State
Wyoming
Hawaii

Conference USA

East Division
East Carolina
Marshall
Southern Mississippi
Memphis
Central Florida
Alabama-Birmingham

West Division
Houston
Southern Methodist
Rice
Tulane
Tulsa
Texas-El Paso

Football Championship Game: Site of member school with best season record
Basketball Tournament: FedEx Forum in Memphis, TN

BOTTOM FEEDERS

WAC - 7 teams

Idaho
San Jose State
New Mexico State
Louisiana Tech
Utah State
Texas-San Antonio
Texas State

Sun Belt - 10 teams

Troy
Middle Tennessee State
Arkansas State
Louisiana-Lafayette
Louisiana-Monroe
North Texas
Florida Atlantic
Florida International
Western Kentucky
South Alabama

Independents - 3 teams

Notre Dame
Army
Navy
Posted by bayou2003
Mah-zur-ree (417)
Member since Oct 2003
17646 posts
Posted on 9/19/11 at 5:43 pm to
Good prediction. For some reason I see the BIG also picking up KU along with Mizzou. But with Rutgers they'd be adding a good market to go along with the STL and KC market if they are expanding for that reason.
This post was edited on 9/19/11 at 5:45 pm
Posted by Defenseiskey
Houston, TX
Member since Nov 2010
1731 posts
Posted on 9/19/11 at 5:46 pm to
hmmmm
Posted by 304eer
West Virginia
Member since Sep 2010
402 posts
Posted on 9/19/11 at 5:50 pm to
SEC basketball Tourney.......what about a place like FedEx Forum in Memphis? Neutral location that's a professional arena
Posted by GABlueDog
Marietta, GA
Member since Dec 2008
8045 posts
Posted on 9/19/11 at 6:13 pm to
FedEx Forum is nice, I agree. However, so is Philips Arena/GA Dome and Atlanta is a bigger stage than Memphis.
Posted by 3HourTour
A whiskey barrel
Member since Mar 2006
21868 posts
Posted on 9/19/11 at 6:37 pm to
I like the Big American name
Posted by gotygers
west St.Tammany
Member since Sep 2007
3016 posts
Posted on 9/19/11 at 6:40 pm to
I like this post. I think its a good guess. Mo fits big ten not sec
Posted by GABlueDog
Marietta, GA
Member since Dec 2008
8045 posts
Posted on 9/19/11 at 6:54 pm to
Exactly, the situation is so fluid that the best you can do is make an educated guess.

Mizzou and Rutgers will fit nicely in the Big Ten. With these two teams, the Big Ten adds two huge markets: St. Louis/Missouri and New York/New Jersey. Rutgers has that academic reputation and quality that the Big Ten constantly harps on about and Mizzou will provide nice rivalries with Nebraska, Iowa, and Illinois.

Come to think of it, the Big Ten may in fact do better in realignment than the SEC. The SEC may come out of realignment the worst of the 4 super conferences.
Posted by bayou2003
Mah-zur-ree (417)
Member since Oct 2003
17646 posts
Posted on 9/19/11 at 7:08 pm to
quote:

Big Ten constantly harps on about and Mizzou will provide nice rivalries with Nebraska, Iowa, and Illinois.


Missouri vs Illinois, Missouri vs Minnesota, Missouri vs Iowa, etc sounds better than Missouri vs Alabama, Missouri vs Mississippi State, Missouri vs Georgia.lol. Geography makes a BIG difference.
Posted by Muahahaha
Ohio
Member since Nov 2005
6854 posts
Posted on 9/19/11 at 8:40 pm to
Kansas would be a good pick up for the B1G it is solid in basketball too, Kansas would be even better.
This post was edited on 9/19/11 at 8:42 pm
Posted by Dr Drunkenstein
Washington DC
Member since May 2009
2918 posts
Posted on 9/19/11 at 8:48 pm to
I could be wrong but I still don't see Texas to the Pac 12/16.
Posted by Muahahaha
Ohio
Member since Nov 2005
6854 posts
Posted on 9/19/11 at 9:01 pm to
Drunk,

I still think Texas will eventually end up in B1G.
Posted by TriumphTiger
Alpharetta, GA
Member since Sep 2007
10440 posts
Posted on 9/19/11 at 9:06 pm to
quote:

Coast Division
Virginia Tech
Georgia Tech
Miami
Clemson
Virginia
North Carolina
Duke
South Florida


I don't think the ACC would take South Florida. Pretty good job otherwise.
Posted by Lithium
Member since Dec 2004
64026 posts
Posted on 9/19/11 at 9:22 pm to
I think Missouri has a better shot at the SEC than UWV
Posted by GABlueDog
Marietta, GA
Member since Dec 2008
8045 posts
Posted on 9/19/11 at 9:28 pm to
Yea, South Florida was probably the biggest stretch for me. In spite of their moderate success on the field, South Florida is still basically a large commuter school that lacks a traditional college feel...not to mention its own stadium. It was founded in the mid 1960s; that means people in their early 60s are the oldest alumni on record.

Still, my guess for the ACC adding them was grounded in the facts that the ACC has openly stated it is discussing adding more schools, there is a good chance that UConn will be the 15th school (due to the powerful influence of the strong basketball schools lobbying for UConn's admittance), and the need to add a 16th school for balance. I could also see Rutgers being a good guess but I believe UConn being a basketball powerhouse means they have the inside shot.
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