re: Dont let today's fools gold fool you.

I don't think it is. There's this large and loud contingent of people who continually harp on QE2 (although none of them were around for QE1) and blather on about it constantly, probably in thanks to talking heads doing just that, talking. Those people probably thought fed rates were going up soon. Meanwhile, real market participants did not, and this is verifiable and easily observed by looking at the fed funds futures. Of course, trying to explain wtf the fed funds futures is does not make for nearly as good a story as "printing billions and pumping up the economy hyperinflation ohnoes!"