Best comparison to LSU baseball 2011: Florida 2003

Both teams started out on fire. Florida was 23-6-1 through the first 30 games, and 12-1 or so through their first 13.

They managed to have a mini-implosion of sorts during a sizable portion of SEC play, finishing 34-19-1 overall and 13-16-1 in conference play. Their non-conference schedule included Miami and Florida State, two solid programs, and everyone else was terrible.

Now here is the interesting thing: 13-16-1 in the conference in 2003 was not good enough for the SEC tournament. However, Florida received an at-large birth from the NCAA selection committee. The team ended up a 3 seed and went to the Miami regional, where they eventually went 2-2 and were sent home.


Anyways, the point of this thread is to say, if we go 13-17, which would likely be 36-20 overall, I think we get into the NCAA tournament as a 3 seed, regardless of whether we make it to Hoover. If we go 12-18 and 35-21, we are squarely on the bubble, imo.

Thus, going 6-4 in the final 10 games is an absolute must, but it will probably take 7-3. That means beating (in what I think is the most likely scenario)

Kentucky on Saturday
1/3 from Bama
2/3 from Mississippi State
Sweeping Tennessee

This is certainly doable, imo.