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Netflix is quietly tearing it up.

Posted on 6/1/10 at 6:45 pm
Posted by Scoop
RIP Scoop
Member since Sep 2005
44583 posts
Posted on 6/1/10 at 6:45 pm
From around $50 start of the year and closed at $107 today after getting as high as $111.

Definitely not a long hold, but with the recent addition of Wii access for instant Netflix for instance and no real competition on the immediate horizon, seems like it has to keep climbing.
Posted by donRANDOMnumbers
Hub City
Member since Nov 2006
17360 posts
Posted on 6/1/10 at 8:13 pm to
i agree. i wish i would have jumped on board a long time ago, but i never thought blockbuster would go down the way they are.

only threat to netflix is redbox.
Posted by Scoop
RIP Scoop
Member since Sep 2005
44583 posts
Posted on 6/1/10 at 8:49 pm to
Netflix is anchoring less to DVD by mail and more to streaming.

People miss the boat saying Netflix instant is compromised by old titles but I've had it on XBox from the start and the TV content is something you can't get as easily anywhere else for next to nothing.

Lost, 24, Dexter, Weeds, etc.

Old series like A Team.

The TV content on instant Netflix is a huge draw but the analysts get stuck on new releases.

That's why Redbox can't directly complete with Netflix yet.
Posted by samisrael
kicking it with Dan Marino...
Member since May 2010
69 posts
Posted on 6/1/10 at 8:56 pm to
CSTR is on a similar run YTD. CSTR faces a few more threats in my opinion with the emergence VoD, competition from NetFlix, NCR and BBI. The new windows that CSTR singed with 3 major studios should be interesting to watch. Sure the pricing will be great and eliminate workarounds but the 28 day post street date release is going to push some customers elsewhere when looking for popular new releases.

The Capex for a RedBox is insanely low and the revenue & EBITDA per kiosk would blow your mind. CSTR knows that it's future is in the DVD rental business and you've seen this increased focus from management lately, most noticeably the sale of the E-Pay business to InComm last week.
This post was edited on 6/1/10 at 9:04 pm
Posted by Scoop
RIP Scoop
Member since Sep 2005
44583 posts
Posted on 6/1/10 at 8:58 pm to
Plus, their books are strong and Netflix is stable as hell which is why such an obvious acquisition target hasn't been bought up by Google, Amazon or Apple.
Posted by samisrael
kicking it with Dan Marino...
Member since May 2010
69 posts
Posted on 6/1/10 at 9:00 pm to
One advantage RedBox has over NetFlix is the physical rental platform. The number of households that can stream internet content to their TV is only around 20%. While this number is low now, it is steadly increasing and RedBox appears to be developing a VoD platform to compete and profit from this shift in delivery methods. We should get some more color on this by year end.
Posted by Scoop
RIP Scoop
Member since Sep 2005
44583 posts
Posted on 6/1/10 at 9:02 pm to
quote:

The Capex for a RedBox is insanely low and the revenue & EBITDA per kiosk would blow your mind. CSTR knows that it's future is in the DVD rental business and you've seen this increased focus from management lately, most noticeably the sale of the E-Pay business to InComm last week.


I have Netflix and Coinstar because I think they are both poised to keep rising as they are not direct competitors in my mind because I see Netflix growing from streaming and not mailed DVDs.
Posted by kfizzle85
Member since Dec 2005
22022 posts
Posted on 6/1/10 at 9:13 pm to
I want to see who ties in with GoogleTV. Has the potential to be a game-breaker.
Posted by Scoop
RIP Scoop
Member since Sep 2005
44583 posts
Posted on 6/1/10 at 9:17 pm to
Exactly. Both Netflix and Coinstar are safe investments on their own but with huge upside depending on how things play out with the big boys.
Posted by samisrael
kicking it with Dan Marino...
Member since May 2010
69 posts
Posted on 6/1/10 at 9:48 pm to
It has the potential to be a game changer only if, and it's a big if, the number households that can stream internet content increases significantly, and soon.
Posted by clamdip
Rocky Mountain High
Member since Sep 2004
20617 posts
Posted on 6/1/10 at 9:50 pm to
quote:

People miss the boat saying Netflix instant is compromised by old titles but I've had it on XBox from the start and the TV content is something you can't get as easily anywhere else for next to nothing.

Lost, 24, Dexter, Weeds, etc.


Entourage?

My wife has a netflix acct, but I've largely ignored the instant access part because I was looking for movies. But, I'd love to see seasons 4-6 of Entourage that way if available.
Posted by kfizzle85
Member since Dec 2005
22022 posts
Posted on 6/1/10 at 9:51 pm to
Anyone with cable tv can stream stuff. IDK what the percentage of households with cable is, but I would imagine it is really, really high. You don't need two pipes for internet and cable, that's part of what Google is trying to get across to consumers.
Posted by mule74
Watersound Beach
Member since Nov 2004
12538 posts
Posted on 6/1/10 at 10:28 pm to
quote:

Netflix is quietly tearing it up.


I didn't realize it was quiet. I picked some up in April at 85 when I read a few articles on Blockbuster. I'm about to take some of my profit and move on. I'm still long on it but I'm going to spread some around. It's a little overbought now just because of the Blockbuster collapse.
Posted by BradendUNT
Navarre, FL
Member since May 2010
17 posts
Posted on 6/2/10 at 3:54 am to
I used to own Netflix back when it was $24 a share!! Ughh oh well I made some money off of all the MO splits, if Netflix had a dividend it would def be a long term keeper...
Posted by tigerfan4444
Member since Apr 2008
702 posts
Posted on 6/2/10 at 8:53 am to
I am not sure how it is tearing it up quietly?

This things moves around a lot. First 20 minutes and there is a spread from the high to low of $4.31.

The options on the front month have an IV of 124.
Posted by Scoop
RIP Scoop
Member since Sep 2005
44583 posts
Posted on 6/2/10 at 3:13 pm to
It moved alot today for sure. Started the morning sliding like $2.60 then stormed back to close +$3.60.
Posted by TheHiddenFlask
The Welsh red light district
Member since Jul 2008
18384 posts
Posted on 6/2/10 at 3:26 pm to
quote:

if Netflix had a dividend it would def be a long term keeper...


Why?
Posted by Factsman
Badstreet USA
Member since Oct 2008
12229 posts
Posted on 6/2/10 at 4:40 pm to
that y i love my broker

he put me on it at like 26 a share
Posted by ScoopAndScore
baton rouge
Member since Oct 2008
12292 posts
Posted on 6/3/10 at 11:54 am to
quote:

no real competition

Cable/Satellite on demand?
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