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re: BCS works __% of the time? 27%
Posted on 7/16/09 at 7:15 pm to tigerinridgeland
Posted on 7/16/09 at 7:15 pm to tigerinridgeland
quote:
Looking at history, it probably did. Historically, a team that starts out ahead of another team doesn't fall behind another team until it loses. That doesn't mean that Auburn was shafted, necessarily in 2004, but Auburn could not have jumped either USC or OU under almost any set of circumstances, and there is little historical precedent to show otherwise.
True but isn't that what the strength of schedule component if for. Looking back at it AU had a much harder schedule than OU yet because the pollsters decided to kept 1 and 2 the same shouldn't the strength of schedule part have been enough to switch OU in AU in the final poll before the Championship game. That's the way it's suppose to happen. Did he strength of schedule have no effect on the outcome because of the polls in the selection in 04 or did the computers screw it up either way AU 04 did get shafted.
Note: I do not want a play off, I actually prefer the current system but to say 04 AU didn't get screw is ridiculous.
Posted on 7/16/09 at 7:33 pm to tigerfighter
quote:
True but isn't that what the strength of schedule component if for. Looking back at it AU had a much harder schedule than OU yet because the pollsters decided to kept 1 and 2 the same shouldn't the strength of schedule part have been enough to switch OU in AU in the final poll before the Championship game. That's the way it's suppose to happen. Did he strength of schedule have no effect on the outcome because of the polls in the selection in 04 or did the computers screw it up either way AU 04 did get shafted.
If there was an explicit SOS component, AU would have fallen even further behind. AU has the weakest SOS. When you have undefeated teams, the only thing the BCS computers can really use to separate the teams is SOS. AU was 3rd in all BCS computer polls. In fact they were 3rd in practically every computer poll. AU OOC sched sucked! Relative to recent standands, the SEC sucked! The SEC scheduled few good teams OOC and lost to all of them. They also lost to a number of mediocre teams. I think the best team they beat had a record like 7-5, possibly 8-4 (I don't remember off the top of my head). Overall conference strength effects AU's SOS and the SEC didn't help them.
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