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How Long to Bring Venezuela's Oil Facilities and Infrastructure Back?

Posted on 1/4/26 at 4:15 pm
Posted by PurpleandGold Motown
Birmingham, Alabama
Member since Oct 2007
24049 posts
Posted on 1/4/26 at 4:15 pm
I know little about the O&G industry as far as the actual process and mechanics. I know just enough to know I know very little outside of market forces. The nuts and bolts of the operation? Next to nothing.

So, conservatively, how long until we can bring the rotting means of production back online and up to industry standards? They've been slowly rotting since the 2000s -- if not the 70s.

Are they even salvageable? Or is this a ground up/down rebuild?

I'm not really concerned about the cash investment. That will be returned, but time is finite.
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
129692 posts
Posted on 1/4/26 at 4:15 pm to
Would go a lot faster if oil was $80 bbl
Posted by 777Tiger
Member since Mar 2011
89210 posts
Posted on 1/4/26 at 4:17 pm to
quote:


Would go a lot faster if oil was $80 bbl


might be worth looking into some shell stock tomorrow
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
76510 posts
Posted on 1/4/26 at 4:21 pm to
At $50/bbl a long time.


Their oil is shite and will run far below what normal oil runs at. Good news is that they can extract for a lot lower price.

Tradeoff is that very few can run their oil.

Reality is that the market is already set and those who can aleady take their oil are taking it.

Bottomine is that it wont matter that much over the next 6-10 months. Development will matter if US demand remains high, which seems a little unlikely.
This post was edited on 1/4/26 at 4:24 pm
Posted by PurpleandGold Motown
Birmingham, Alabama
Member since Oct 2007
24049 posts
Posted on 1/4/26 at 4:24 pm to
I thought the Gulf Coast refineries were purpose built to process sour crude for diesel and other products?

Haven't the been running at reduced efficiency since they stopped getting crude from Venezuela?
Posted by ragincajun03
Member since Nov 2007
27771 posts
Posted on 1/4/26 at 4:25 pm to
Lots of money will need to be spent upgrading and even flat out rebuilding and replacing infrastructure that was allowed to deteriorate under the past two communist regimes. At $55/bbl oil, there ain’t going to be much of a rush by US oil companies to jump up and spend a bunch of previously unplanned 2026 capital, short of the U.S. or Venezuelan government footing a large portion, or all, of the bill.

That’s the reality, no matter what politicians on TV from either side are trying to tell you.
Posted by ragincajun03
Member since Nov 2007
27771 posts
Posted on 1/4/26 at 4:28 pm to
quote:

I thought the Gulf Coast refineries were purpose built to process sour crude for diesel and other products?


I THINK that is correct, and they’ll certainly take the Venezuelan crude, though Chevron was sending their crude from that region to those refineries already. However, the problem is the money and investment that would be needed to get Venezuela’s oilfields built back to operating and producing like they were decades ago. That’s going to take a hell of a lot longer at the current oil price vs if we were in a $90/bbl market.
Posted by sgallo3
Lake Charles
Member since Sep 2008
25405 posts
Posted on 1/4/26 at 4:28 pm to
quote:

short of the U.S. or Venezuelan government footing a large portion, or all, of the bill.

well you know we will.
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
76510 posts
Posted on 1/4/26 at 4:28 pm to
quote:

I thought the Gulf Coast refineries were purpose built to process sour crude for diesel and other products?


Somewhat. They are.

quote:

Haven't the been running at reduced efficiency since they stopped getting crude from Venezuela?


Somewhat, they are.



It isn't about what they can run but what they can adapt to run. What is valuable to run. Going to take months to figure out what is coming out of Venezuela and what it is worth. Venezuela is already producing more then what America really wants. Not saying it wont get cheaper but cheapness only goes so far.
Posted by Chief Hinge
There and Here
Member since Sep 2018
3213 posts
Posted on 1/4/26 at 4:30 pm to
quote:

might be worth looking into some shell stock tomorrow


Shush
Posted by whatiknowsofar
hm?
Member since Nov 2010
26039 posts
Posted on 1/4/26 at 4:33 pm to
quote:

I'm not really concerned about the cash investment. That will be returned


Lmmfao
Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
61489 posts
Posted on 1/4/26 at 4:34 pm to
I will be interested in hearing the summaries of how all of the infrastructure looks and what’s a “quick fix” or not when some of the big boys are able to get down there and take surveys and such.
This post was edited on 1/4/26 at 4:50 pm
Posted by ragincajun03
Member since Nov 2007
27771 posts
Posted on 1/4/26 at 4:37 pm to
Yep.

“Good news” is that the Venezuelan government probably owns just about all the land that matter for their oilfields, so won’t have to worry about the upfront work of navigating those pesky individual property rights. Just get the green light from them to rebuild the stuff and go.
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
76510 posts
Posted on 1/4/26 at 4:38 pm to
quote:

ill be interested in hearing the summaries of how all of the infrastructure looks and what’s a “quick fix” or not when some of the big boys are able to get down there and surveys and such


The alleged amount is $100MM

Honestly, look who has rhe lead on Guyana exploration.
This post was edited on 1/4/26 at 4:40 pm
Posted by TigerReich
Member since Dec 2024
812 posts
Posted on 1/4/26 at 4:39 pm to
Help me understand why gas is more expensive today than it was 10 years ago at $90/barrel?
Posted by bad93ex
Walnut Cove
Member since Sep 2018
34629 posts
Posted on 1/4/26 at 4:42 pm to
quote:

Help me understand why gas is more expensive today than it was 10 years ago at $90/barrel?



Taxes and weak dollar
Posted by Nado Jenkins83
Land of the Free
Member since Nov 2012
65292 posts
Posted on 1/4/26 at 4:46 pm to
Yep. People need to go look at profit per gallon for companies

Posted by ragincajun03
Member since Nov 2007
27771 posts
Posted on 1/4/26 at 4:46 pm to
quote:

Taxes and weak dollar


And no way salaries at refineries and for truck drivers should have increased over those past 10 years.

Them baws part of a union or something?
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
76510 posts
Posted on 1/4/26 at 4:47 pm to
quote:

Help me understand why gas is more expensive today than it was 10 years ago at $90/barrel?


Ng aint $90/bbls
Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
61489 posts
Posted on 1/4/26 at 4:53 pm to
quote:

Help me understand why gas is more expensive today than it was 10 years ago at $90/barrel?


There is a hell of a lot more that goes into the pricing of gas than just the cost of a barrel of oil, especially with a view of more than a few years in the past.
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