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Started By
Message
The best source has spoken....
Posted on 11/18/25 at 12:03 pm
Posted on 11/18/25 at 12:03 pm
FWIW, ChatGPT says....
My best guess (odds-style)
If I try to be honest and probabilistic:
Ole Miss: ~45%
The combination of current success, big money, Saban’s public caution, and the ability to renegotiate again later keeps “stay put” as the single most likely single outcome.
LSU: ~30%
They look like the most aggressive suitor and may be willing to blow everyone else away financially. If he wants the biggest stage and paycheck in the SEC, LSU fits.
Florida: ~20%
Still a big job, and some analysts think it’s his likeliest landing spot if he leaves. But LSU seems slightly ahead in terms of reporting buzz right now.
Somewhere else / surprise NFL or college job: ~5%
Coaching carousels are chaotic, but there’s no concrete smoke around a third specific destination at the moment.
In plain English:
> Right now, the facts support that Lane is truly torn and maximizing leverage. If I had to call it today, I’d say “slight lean to staying at Ole Miss,” with LSU as the most dangerous threat and Florida just behind that.
My best guess (odds-style)
If I try to be honest and probabilistic:
Ole Miss: ~45%
The combination of current success, big money, Saban’s public caution, and the ability to renegotiate again later keeps “stay put” as the single most likely single outcome.
LSU: ~30%
They look like the most aggressive suitor and may be willing to blow everyone else away financially. If he wants the biggest stage and paycheck in the SEC, LSU fits.
Florida: ~20%
Still a big job, and some analysts think it’s his likeliest landing spot if he leaves. But LSU seems slightly ahead in terms of reporting buzz right now.
Somewhere else / surprise NFL or college job: ~5%
Coaching carousels are chaotic, but there’s no concrete smoke around a third specific destination at the moment.
In plain English:
> Right now, the facts support that Lane is truly torn and maximizing leverage. If I had to call it today, I’d say “slight lean to staying at Ole Miss,” with LSU as the most dangerous threat and Florida just behind that.
4
Posted on 11/18/25 at 12:07 pm to Rizer_J
From Grok Ai
Old Piss -150 60%
Florida +200 33%
Lsu +400 20%
NFL +1200 8%
Other +2500 4%
Old Piss -150 60%
Florida +200 33%
Lsu +400 20%
NFL +1200 8%
Other +2500 4%
Posted on 11/18/25 at 12:08 pm to Tigers6904
Crazy to be so different and that Ole Miss odds are so high.
Posted on 11/18/25 at 12:09 pm to Rizer_J
This is like asking ChatGPT what color is the best color. Completely useless information
Posted on 11/18/25 at 12:09 pm to Rizer_J
Can yall stop posting this dumb arse AI shite
Posted on 11/18/25 at 12:10 pm to Rizer_J
That’s what I thought.
All from Grok on the reasonings
quote:
Lane Kiffin's future is the hottest ticket in college football right now. With Ole Miss sitting pretty at 10-1 and eyeing a playoff spot, rumors are swirling like a bad blackjack hand: Florida's desperate for a savior after firing Billy Napier, LSU's throwing private jets at his family post-Brian Kelly's ouster, and Kiffin's own cryptic posts (those "Kiffin 2026" hats in Rebel colors?) have fans flipping tables. He's denied ultimatums from Ole Miss, professed his love for Oxford on Pat McAfee's show today, and emphasized NIL stability as his top priority—yet his agent Jimmy Sexton is the king of the smoke-and-mirrors game, letting suitors bid while boosters panic-donate to keep the Rebels competitive. Based on the latest buzz (family tours to Gainesville and Baton Rouge this week, betting lines shifting wildly, and insider whispers of a Florida lean due to Kiffin's Spurrier obsession and Florida roots), here's my house take on the odds. These are American-style (e.g., +150 means a $100 bet wins $150 profit), with implied probabilities. The house edge? Kiffin's unpredictability— he's bounced from USC, Tennessee, and the Raiders faster than a comped cocktail.
All from Grok on the reasonings
Posted on 11/18/25 at 12:11 pm to Tigers6904
fricking dumb
Posted on 11/18/25 at 12:13 pm to LSUcajun77
Lighten up man. Enjoy the moment.
Posted on 11/18/25 at 12:27 pm to Rizer_J
Per Claude....
ODDS (Based Only on 2+ Source Facts):
My Evidence-Based Prediction:
LSU: 55%
Florida: 35%
Ole Miss: 10%
Reasoning:
Why LSU leads (55%):
Operational infrastructure already in place - Austin Thomas and Kevin Bolden worked directly with Kiffin at Ole Miss and know his operation intimately. This gives LSU a massive transition advantage that no other school can match.
Frank Wilson connection provides coaching staff familiarity
Highest financial offer confirmed by multiple sources
Jimmy Sexton-Ausberry relationship confirmed
Three staff members with Kiffin connections vs. Florida having primarily family/nostalgic connections
Why Florida remains viable (35%):
Layla Kiffin is a UF alumna - this is a concrete, confirmed family tie
No "bad blood" - multiple sources note concerns about LSU rivalry dynamics
Steve Spurrier connection - Kiffin's idol coached at Florida
Still reportedly in conversations per multiple sources
Why Ole Miss is unlikely (10%):
Won't sign extension despite having it for weeks
Family doing site visits - this doesn't happen if staying
Sentiment shift confirmed by multiple sources
However - kept 10% because: he's built something special, daughter/son considerations are real, Saban publicly questioned if other jobs are better, and he's stayed through previous courtships (Auburn 2022)
ODDS (Based Only on 2+ Source Facts):
My Evidence-Based Prediction:
LSU: 55%
Florida: 35%
Ole Miss: 10%
Reasoning:
Why LSU leads (55%):
Operational infrastructure already in place - Austin Thomas and Kevin Bolden worked directly with Kiffin at Ole Miss and know his operation intimately. This gives LSU a massive transition advantage that no other school can match.
Frank Wilson connection provides coaching staff familiarity
Highest financial offer confirmed by multiple sources
Jimmy Sexton-Ausberry relationship confirmed
Three staff members with Kiffin connections vs. Florida having primarily family/nostalgic connections
Why Florida remains viable (35%):
Layla Kiffin is a UF alumna - this is a concrete, confirmed family tie
No "bad blood" - multiple sources note concerns about LSU rivalry dynamics
Steve Spurrier connection - Kiffin's idol coached at Florida
Still reportedly in conversations per multiple sources
Why Ole Miss is unlikely (10%):
Won't sign extension despite having it for weeks
Family doing site visits - this doesn't happen if staying
Sentiment shift confirmed by multiple sources
However - kept 10% because: he's built something special, daughter/son considerations are real, Saban publicly questioned if other jobs are better, and he's stayed through previous courtships (Auburn 2022)
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